Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.242.58safe0.38–2.310.38–2.090.76–4.41safer0.13–2.560.16–2.320.28–4.89
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.218.38safe2.30–6.032.47–5.954.77–11.98safer1.81–6.522.00–6.423.81–12.94
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8812.2125.10safe8.96–16.818.65–15.7717.61–32.58safer7.87–17.907.69–16.7315.56–34.63
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.797.7815.57safe4.85–10.735.10–10.469.95–21.20safer4.02–11.564.36–11.208.38–22.76
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.236.54safe1.43–5.201.57–4.883.01–10.08safer0.89–5.741.08–5.371.97–11.11
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.034.729.75safe2.81–7.242.72–6.725.54–13.96safer2.24–7.812.19–7.264.43–15.07
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.9743.95safe50.18–63.7637.17–50.74safer48.51–65.4335.49–52.41
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction482361843safe415–550294–427709–977safer397–568277–445674–1012
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction70.9970.05safe66.97–75.0265.73–74.37safer65.67–76.3264.42–75.68
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0612.8226.88safe11.23–16.909.87–15.7621.10–32.67safer10.47–17.669.13–16.5119.60–34.17
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.723.14safe0.26–2.580.63–2.820.89–5.39safer0.00–2.880.34–3.100.30–5.98
Yellow cards
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.585.27safe1.64–3.741.45–3.713.10–7.45safer1.38–4.011.16–4.002.54–8.01
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.150.30safe0.00–0.310.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.470.00–0.93
GK saves
42%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.775.60safe1.39–4.271.22–4.332.61–8.60safer1.01–4.650.79–4.751.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.56 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.58 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 39% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.03 1.81–6.52 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.81–12.94 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.90 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 25.10 17.61–32.58 15.56–34.63 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.79 4.85–10.73 4.02–11.56 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.20 | 15.57 9.95–21.20 8.38–22.76 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.43–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 6.54 3.01–10.08 1.97–11.11 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 56.97 50.18–63.76 48.51–65.43 | 43.95 37.17–50.74 35.49–52.41 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 482 415–550 397–568 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 843 709–977 674–1012 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.97–75.02 65.67–76.32 | 70.05 65.73–74.37 64.42–75.68 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 14.06 11.23–16.90 10.47–17.66 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.13–16.51 | 26.88 21.10–32.67 19.60–34.17 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 3.14 0.89–5.39 0.30–5.98 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.69 1.64–3.74 1.38–4.01 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 5.27 3.10–7.45 2.54–8.01 | 43% 18% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.60 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 42% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+