Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
26%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.802.31safe0.54–2.470.00–1.660.49–4.13safer0.28–2.720.00–1.890.01–4.61
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.037.92safe3.02–6.751.29–4.774.31–11.52safer2.54–7.240.82–5.243.36–12.48
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.649.3023.94safe10.72–18.575.74–12.8616.45–31.43safer9.63–19.664.78–13.8214.40–33.48
Shots in box
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction8.495.8614.35safe5.55–11.433.18–8.548.73–19.97safer4.72–12.262.44–9.277.16–21.54
Blocked shots
70%
13%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.005.80safe1.91–5.680.35–3.652.26–9.33safer1.37–6.220.00–4.141.22–10.37
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.709.71safe3.80–8.231.70–5.705.50–13.92safer3.22–8.801.17–6.234.39–15.03
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7240.18safe52.93–66.5133.39–46.96safer51.26–68.1831.72–48.63
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction514325839safe446–581258–391705–972safer428–599241–409669–1008
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction75.1969.01safe71.16–79.2264.68–73.33safer69.87–80.5163.38–74.64
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1914.8427.03safe9.36–15.0311.90–17.7921.25–32.82safer8.60–15.7911.15–18.5319.75–34.32
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.393.05safe0.50–2.820.30–2.490.80–5.31safer0.20–3.120.01–2.770.21–5.90
Yellow cards
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.944.79safe0.81–2.901.81–4.072.61–6.97safer0.54–3.171.52–4.362.06–7.53
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.235.39safe0.72–3.601.68–4.792.40–8.39safer0.34–3.981.25–5.211.59–9.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.80 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 2.31 0.49–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 54% 26% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 3.03 1.29–4.77 0.82–5.24 | 7.92 4.31–11.52 3.36–12.48 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.64 10.72–18.57 9.63–19.66 | 9.30 5.74–12.86 4.78–13.82 | 23.94 16.45–31.43 14.40–33.48 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 8.49 5.55–11.43 4.72–12.26 | 5.86 3.18–8.54 2.44–9.27 | 14.35 8.73–19.97 7.16–21.54 | 71% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.91–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 2.00 0.35–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 5.80 2.26–9.33 1.22–10.37 | 70% 13% 16% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.80–8.23 3.22–8.80 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.71 5.50–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 59.72 52.93–66.51 51.26–68.18 | 40.18 33.39–46.96 31.72–48.63 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 514 446–581 428–599 | 325 258–391 241–409 | 839 705–972 669–1008 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.19 71.16–79.22 69.87–80.51 | 69.01 64.68–73.33 63.38–74.64 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.36–15.03 8.60–15.79 | 14.84 11.90–17.79 11.15–18.53 | 27.03 21.25–32.82 19.75–34.32 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.94 1.81–4.07 1.52–4.36 | 4.79 2.61–6.97 2.06–7.53 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.60 0.34–3.98 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.39 2.40–8.39 1.59–9.20 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+