Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.212.28safe0.11–2.040.35–2.060.46–4.11safer0.00–2.300.12–2.290.00–4.59
Shots on target
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.643.917.55safe1.78–5.502.17–5.653.94–11.15safer1.29–5.991.70–6.122.99–12.11
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0212.6524.68safe8.10–15.959.09–16.2217.19–32.16safer7.00–17.048.13–17.1815.14–34.21
Shots in box
44%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.247.3014.54safe4.30–10.184.62–9.988.92–20.17safer3.47–11.013.89–10.727.35–21.73
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.686.73safe1.16–4.932.03–5.343.19–10.27safer0.62–5.471.54–5.832.16–11.30
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.009.63safe2.41–6.843.00–7.005.41–13.84safer1.84–7.412.47–7.544.31–14.95
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.3856.89safe35.59–49.1750.11–63.68safer33.92–50.8448.43–65.35
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction377489866safe310–444422–555732–1000safer292–463405–573697–1035
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction67.5575.12safe63.52–71.5870.79–79.44safer62.23–72.8769.48–80.75
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1512.0527.20safe12.32–17.999.11–14.9921.42–32.99safer11.56–18.758.36–15.7419.92–34.49
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.422.91safe0.33–2.650.33–2.510.66–5.17safer0.03–2.950.04–2.800.07–5.76
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.934.13safe1.15–3.250.80–3.051.95–6.30safer0.89–3.520.51–3.351.39–6.86
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.655.40safe1.32–4.191.09–4.202.41–8.39safer0.93–4.580.67–4.631.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.30 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.28 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 33% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.50 1.29–5.99 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 7.55 3.94–11.15 2.99–12.11 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.02 8.10–15.95 7.00–17.04 | 12.65 9.09–16.22 8.13–17.18 | 24.68 17.19–32.16 15.14–34.21 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.18 3.47–11.01 | 7.30 4.62–9.98 3.89–10.72 | 14.54 8.92–20.17 7.35–21.73 | 44% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.16–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 3.68 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 6.73 3.19–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.54 | 9.63 5.41–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.38 35.59–49.17 33.92–50.84 | 56.89 50.11–63.68 48.43–65.35 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 377 310–444 292–463 | 489 422–555 405–573 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.55 63.52–71.58 62.23–72.87 | 75.12 70.79–79.44 69.48–80.75 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 15.15 12.32–17.99 11.56–18.75 | 12.05 9.11–14.99 8.36–15.74 | 27.20 21.42–32.99 19.92–34.49 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 2.91 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.51–3.35 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.40 2.41–8.39 1.60–9.21 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.