Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.772.182.95safe0.00–1.741.33–3.041.13–4.77safer0.00–1.991.10–3.270.65–5.25
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.998.84safe0.99–4.724.24–7.735.23–12.44safer0.50–5.203.78–8.194.28–13.40
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6016.1725.78safe5.68–13.5312.61–19.7418.29–33.27safer4.59–14.6211.65–20.7016.24–35.32
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2710.9816.25safe2.33–8.228.30–13.6610.63–21.87safer1.50–9.057.56–14.399.06–23.44
Blocked shots
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.256.96safe0.84–4.602.59–5.903.43–10.50safer0.29–5.142.10–6.392.39–11.53
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.435.999.42safe1.21–5.643.99–7.995.20–13.63safer0.64–6.213.46–8.524.10–14.74
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.3361.36safe31.54–45.1254.58–68.15safer29.87–46.7952.91–69.82
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction337506843safe269–404440–573709–977safer251–422422–590674–1012
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction62.5475.11safe58.51–66.5770.79–79.44safer57.22–67.8669.48–80.75
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4812.6626.14safe10.65–16.329.71–15.6020.36–31.93safer9.89–17.088.97–16.3518.86–33.43
Offsides
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.943.20safe0.09–2.410.85–3.040.94–5.45safer0.00–2.710.56–3.330.35–6.04
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.964.30safe1.28–3.380.83–3.092.12–6.47safer1.02–3.650.54–3.381.56–7.03
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.276.09safe2.39–5.260.71–3.823.10–9.08safer2.00–5.650.28–4.252.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 2.18 1.33–3.04 1.10–3.27 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 18% 70% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.99–4.72 0.50–5.20 | 5.99 4.24–7.73 3.78–8.19 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 81% |
| Total shots | 9.60 5.68–13.53 4.59–14.62 | 16.17 12.61–19.74 11.65–20.70 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 5.27 2.33–8.22 1.50–9.05 | 10.98 8.30–13.66 7.56–14.39 | 16.25 10.63–21.87 9.06–23.44 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.72 0.84–4.60 0.29–5.14 | 4.25 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 6.96 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.53 | 22% 13% 65% |
| Corners | 3.43 1.21–5.64 0.64–6.21 | 5.99 3.99–7.99 3.46–8.52 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 38.33 31.54–45.12 29.87–46.79 | 61.36 54.58–68.15 52.91–69.82 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 337 269–404 251–422 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 843 709–977 674–1012 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.54 58.51–66.57 57.22–67.86 | 75.11 70.79–79.44 69.48–80.75 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.48 10.65–16.32 9.89–17.08 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.97–16.35 | 26.14 20.36–31.93 18.86–33.43 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.25 0.09–2.41 0.00–2.71 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.30 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.39–5.26 2.00–5.65 | 2.27 0.71–3.82 0.28–4.25 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+