Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.593.09safe1.54–3.470.00–1.441.27–4.92safer1.28–3.720.00–1.670.79–5.39
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.752.419.17safe4.89–8.620.67–4.165.56–12.77safer4.40–9.110.21–4.624.61–13.73
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction18.767.2526.00safe14.83–22.683.68–10.8118.52–33.49safer13.74–23.772.72–11.7716.47–35.54
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.334.3516.68safe9.39–15.271.67–7.0311.06–22.31safer8.56–16.100.93–7.779.49–23.87
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.791.976.76safe2.91–6.670.32–3.623.22–10.30safer2.37–7.220.00–4.112.19–11.33
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.172.8610.03safe4.96–9.390.86–4.865.82–14.25safer4.39–9.960.33–5.394.71–15.36
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.2037.97safe55.41–68.9931.18–44.75safer53.74–70.6629.51–46.42
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction559344902safe492–626277–410769–1036safer473–644260–428733–1072
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction76.0668.00safe72.03–80.0963.67–72.32safer70.74–81.3862.36–73.63
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8213.3225.15safe8.98–14.6610.38–16.2719.36–30.93safer8.23–15.419.63–17.0217.86–32.43
Offsides
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.102.99safe0.74–3.060.00–2.190.74–5.25safer0.44–3.360.00–2.480.15–5.84
Yellow cards
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.263.50safe0.19–2.291.13–3.391.32–5.68safer0.00–2.560.84–3.680.77–6.24
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.944.066.00safe0.50–3.382.50–5.623.01–8.99safer0.12–3.762.08–6.042.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.54–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.59 0.00–1.44 0.00–1.67 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.39 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.75 4.89–8.62 4.40–9.11 | 2.41 0.67–4.16 0.21–4.62 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.76 14.83–22.68 13.74–23.77 | 7.25 3.68–10.81 2.72–11.77 | 26.00 18.52–33.49 16.47–35.54 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.33 9.39–15.27 8.56–16.10 | 4.35 1.67–7.03 0.93–7.77 | 16.68 11.06–22.31 9.49–23.87 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.67 2.37–7.22 | 1.97 0.32–3.62 0.00–4.11 | 6.76 3.22–10.30 2.19–11.33 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.17 4.96–9.39 4.39–9.96 | 2.86 0.86–4.86 0.33–5.39 | 10.03 5.82–14.25 4.71–15.36 | 89% |
| Possession % | 62.20 55.41–68.99 53.74–70.66 | 37.97 31.18–44.75 29.51–46.42 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 473–644 | 344 277–410 260–428 | 902 769–1036 733–1072 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.06 72.03–80.09 70.74–81.38 | 68.00 63.67–72.32 62.36–73.63 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.66 8.23–15.41 | 13.32 10.38–16.27 9.63–17.02 | 25.15 19.36–30.93 17.86–32.43 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.10 0.00–2.19 0.00–2.48 | 2.99 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.94 0.50–3.38 0.12–3.76 | 4.06 2.50–5.62 2.08–6.04 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.