Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.052.40safe0.39–2.330.19–1.900.58–4.23safer0.14–2.580.00–2.130.10–4.71
Shots on target
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.998.46safe2.61–6.332.25–5.734.86–12.07safer2.12–6.821.78–6.203.90–13.02
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3712.4824.85safe8.45–16.308.92–16.0417.37–32.34safer7.36–17.397.96–17.0015.31–34.39
Shots in box
52%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.576.8614.43safe4.63–10.514.18–9.558.81–20.06safer3.80–11.343.45–10.287.24–21.62
Blocked shots
49%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.755.94safe1.31–5.071.10–4.412.41–9.48safer0.76–5.610.61–4.901.37–10.51
Corners
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.359.13safe2.57–6.992.35–6.354.91–13.34safer1.99–7.571.82–6.883.81–14.45
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.6950.70safe42.90–56.4843.92–57.49safer41.23–58.1542.25–59.16
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction424441866safe357–492375–508732–1000safer339–510357–525696–1035
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction72.1374.45safe68.11–76.1670.12–78.77safer66.81–77.4668.81–80.08
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2413.4326.66safe10.40–16.0810.48–16.3720.88–32.45safer9.65–16.839.73–17.1219.38–33.95
Offsides
46%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.363.05safe0.53–2.860.26–2.450.80–5.30safer0.23–3.160.00–2.740.21–5.89
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.374.59safe1.17–3.261.24–3.502.41–6.77safer0.90–3.530.95–3.791.85–7.32
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.105.92safe1.38–4.251.55–4.662.93–8.91safer0.99–4.641.12–5.092.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.40 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.02 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.45–16.30 7.36–17.39 | 12.48 8.92–16.04 7.96–17.00 | 24.85 17.37–32.34 15.31–34.39 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.63–10.51 3.80–11.34 | 6.86 4.18–9.55 3.45–10.28 | 14.43 8.81–20.06 7.24–21.62 | 52% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 2.75 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 5.94 2.41–9.48 1.37–10.51 | 49% 17% 35% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–6.99 1.99–7.57 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.13 4.91–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.69 42.90–56.48 41.23–58.15 | 50.70 43.92–57.49 42.25–59.16 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 424 357–492 339–510 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 866 732–1000 696–1035 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.13 68.11–76.16 66.81–77.46 | 74.45 70.12–78.77 68.81–80.08 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 13.24 10.40–16.08 9.65–16.83 | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 26.66 20.88–32.45 19.38–33.95 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.53–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 46% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.26 0.90–3.53 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.85–7.32 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+