Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
29%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.180.992.17safe0.22–2.150.13–1.840.35–4.00safer0.00–2.400.00–2.070.00–4.48
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.758.09safe2.48–6.202.01–5.504.49–11.70safer1.99–6.691.55–5.963.53–12.66
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8111.0125.82safe10.89–18.747.45–14.5718.33–33.31safer9.80–19.836.49–15.5316.28–35.36
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.387.0715.46safe5.44–11.334.39–9.769.84–21.08safer4.61–12.163.66–10.498.27–22.65
Blocked shots
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.756.27safe1.64–5.401.10–4.412.74–9.81safer1.09–5.950.61–4.901.70–10.84
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.379.54safe2.95–7.382.37–6.375.33–13.75safer2.38–7.951.84–6.914.22–14.86
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.3047.70safe44.51–58.0940.91–54.48safer42.84–59.7639.24–56.15
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction444422866safe377–511355–488732–1000safer359–530338–506697–1035
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction72.5573.71safe68.52–76.5869.38–78.03safer67.23–77.8768.08–79.34
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2712.9226.20safe10.43–16.119.98–15.8720.41–31.98safer9.68–16.869.23–16.6218.91–33.48
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.593.01safe0.25–2.580.50–2.690.75–5.26safer0.00–2.880.21–2.970.16–5.85
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.414.25safe0.80–2.891.28–3.542.08–6.43safer0.53–3.160.99–3.831.52–6.99
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
31%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.336.00safe1.23–4.101.78–4.893.01–8.99safer0.84–4.491.35–5.322.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.17 0.35–4.00 0.00–4.48 | 40% 29% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 3.75 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.96 | 8.09 4.49–11.70 3.53–12.66 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.81 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 25.82 18.33–33.31 16.28–35.36 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.33 4.61–12.16 | 7.07 4.39–9.76 3.66–10.49 | 15.46 9.84–21.08 8.27–22.65 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.95 | 2.75 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.27 2.74–9.81 1.70–10.84 | 54% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.91 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 51.30 44.51–58.09 42.84–59.76 | 47.70 40.91–54.48 39.24–56.15 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–530 | 422 355–488 338–506 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.55 68.52–76.58 67.23–77.87 | 73.71 69.38–78.03 68.08–79.34 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 13.27 10.43–16.11 9.68–16.86 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.62 | 26.20 20.41–31.98 18.91–33.48 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.25 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.33 1.78–4.89 1.35–5.32 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 31% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.