Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.962.57safe0.65–2.580.10–1.810.75–4.39safer0.39–2.830.00–2.040.27–4.87
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.458.61safe3.29–7.021.71–5.195.00–12.21safer2.80–7.511.24–5.664.05–13.17
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9710.0926.06safe12.05–19.906.52–13.6518.57–33.54safer10.96–20.995.56–14.6116.52–35.59
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.046.2016.25safe7.10–12.983.52–8.8810.62–21.87safer6.27–13.812.79–9.629.06–23.44
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.596.97safe2.49–6.250.94–4.253.43–10.50safer1.95–6.800.45–4.742.39–11.54
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.454.0610.51safe4.23–8.662.06–6.066.29–14.72safer3.66–9.241.53–6.595.19–15.83
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0645.29safe48.27–61.8538.51–52.08safer46.60–63.5236.84–53.75
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction431327758safe364–498260–393624–892safer346–516243–411589–927
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction68.9968.54safe64.96–73.0264.22–72.87safer63.67–74.3162.91–74.17
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2514.2927.54safe10.42–16.0911.34–17.2321.76–33.32safer9.66–16.8510.59–17.9820.25–34.83
Offsides
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.172.51safe0.18–2.500.08–2.260.26–4.77safer0.00–2.810.00–2.550.00–5.36
Yellow cards
32%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.664.84safe1.13–3.231.53–3.792.66–7.02safer0.86–3.491.24–4.082.10–7.57
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.636.05safe0.98–3.852.07–5.193.05–9.04safer0.59–4.241.65–5.612.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.97 12.05–19.90 10.96–20.99 | 10.09 6.52–13.65 5.56–14.61 | 26.06 18.57–33.54 16.52–35.59 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.04 7.10–12.98 6.27–13.81 | 6.20 3.52–8.88 2.79–9.62 | 16.25 10.62–21.87 9.06–23.44 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.49–6.25 1.95–6.80 | 2.59 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.54 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.45 4.23–8.66 3.66–9.24 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.06 48.27–61.85 46.60–63.52 | 45.29 38.51–52.08 36.84–53.75 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 327 260–393 243–411 | 758 624–892 589–927 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.99 64.96–73.02 63.67–74.31 | 68.54 64.22–72.87 62.91–74.17 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.42–16.09 9.66–16.85 | 14.29 11.34–17.23 10.59–17.98 | 27.54 21.76–33.32 20.25–34.83 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.81 | 1.17 0.08–2.26 0.00–2.55 | 2.51 0.26–4.77 0.00–5.36 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.84 2.66–7.02 2.10–7.57 | 32% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.63 2.07–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.