Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.542.68safe0.18–2.120.68–2.390.86–4.51safer0.00–2.370.45–2.620.38–4.99
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.678.84safe2.31–6.032.93–6.415.23–12.44safer1.82–6.522.46–6.884.28–13.40
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.0926.53safe8.51–16.3610.53–17.6519.04–34.02safer7.42–17.459.57–18.6116.99–36.07
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.379.5116.88safe4.43–10.316.83–12.1911.26–22.50safer3.60–11.146.09–12.939.69–24.07
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.767.30safe1.66–5.422.11–5.413.76–10.83safer1.11–5.961.61–5.902.73–11.87
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction5.135.7010.83safe2.92–7.343.70–7.706.62–15.04safer2.34–7.923.17–8.235.51–16.15
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction48.0153.11safe41.22–54.8046.32–59.89safer39.55–56.4744.65–61.56
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction363404766safe295–430337–470633–900safer277–448320–488597–936
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.3270.34safe60.29–68.3566.01–74.66safer59.00–69.6564.70–75.97
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3414.5428.88safe11.50–17.1711.59–17.4823.09–34.66safer10.74–17.9310.85–18.2321.59–36.16
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.422.82safe0.24–2.560.32–2.510.57–5.07safer0.00–2.870.03–2.800.00–5.66
Yellow cards
45%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.314.89safe1.53–3.631.18–3.442.71–7.07safer1.26–3.890.89–3.732.15–7.62
Red cards
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.130.29safe0.00–0.320.00–0.320.00–0.64safer0.00–0.470.00–0.450.00–0.92
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.855.97safe1.68–4.551.30–4.412.98–8.96safer1.29–4.940.87–4.832.17–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.54 0.68–2.39 0.45–2.62 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 28% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 4.67 2.93–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.44 8.51–16.36 7.42–17.45 | 14.09 10.53–17.65 9.57–18.61 | 26.53 19.04–34.02 16.99–36.07 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.37 4.43–10.31 3.60–11.14 | 9.51 6.83–12.19 6.09–12.93 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.30 3.76–10.83 2.73–11.87 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.34 2.34–7.92 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.17–8.23 | 10.83 6.62–15.04 5.51–16.15 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 48.01 41.22–54.80 39.55–56.47 | 53.11 46.32–59.89 44.65–61.56 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 766 633–900 597–936 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.32 60.29–68.35 59.00–69.65 | 70.34 66.01–74.66 64.70–75.97 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 14.34 11.50–17.17 10.74–17.93 | 14.54 11.59–17.48 10.85–18.23 | 28.88 23.09–34.66 21.59–36.16 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.87 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.58 1.53–3.63 1.26–3.89 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.89 2.71–7.07 2.15–7.62 | 45% 18% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 13% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.77 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.