Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.871.662.53safe0.00–1.840.81–2.520.71–4.35safer0.00–2.090.58–2.750.23–4.83
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.244.978.21safe1.38–5.103.23–6.714.61–11.82safer0.89–5.592.76–7.183.65–12.77
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9313.0023.93safe7.01–14.869.44–16.5616.45–31.42safer5.92–15.958.48–17.5214.40–33.47
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.519.0614.57safe2.57–8.466.37–11.748.95–20.19safer1.74–9.285.64–12.477.38–21.76
Blocked shots
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.195.97safe0.89–4.661.54–4.842.43–9.50safer0.35–5.201.04–5.331.40–10.54
Corners
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.919.05safe1.92–6.352.91–6.914.83–13.26safer1.35–6.922.38–7.453.73–14.37
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.5458.17safe35.75–49.3351.38–64.95safer34.08–51.0049.71–66.62
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction403543946safe336–471476–609813–1080safer318–489459–627777–1116
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction69.0477.84safe65.02–73.0773.51–82.16safer63.72–74.3772.21–83.47
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7412.5025.24safe9.90–15.579.56–15.4519.46–31.02safer9.14–16.338.81–16.2017.95–32.53
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.983.61safe0.47–2.790.89–3.081.36–5.86safer0.16–3.090.60–3.360.77–6.45
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.394.59safe1.15–3.251.26–3.522.41–6.77safer0.89–3.520.97–3.811.85–7.33
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.395.67safe1.84–4.710.84–3.952.68–8.66safer1.45–5.100.41–4.371.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 19% 24% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.24 1.38–5.10 0.89–5.59 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 8.21 4.61–11.82 3.65–12.77 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.01–14.86 5.92–15.95 | 13.00 9.44–16.56 8.48–17.52 | 23.93 16.45–31.42 14.40–33.47 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 5.51 2.57–8.46 1.74–9.28 | 9.06 6.37–11.74 5.64–12.47 | 14.57 8.95–20.19 7.38–21.76 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.78 0.89–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 3.19 1.54–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 5.97 2.43–9.50 1.40–10.54 | 35% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.92–6.35 1.35–6.92 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.45 | 9.05 4.83–13.26 3.73–14.37 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Possession % | 42.54 35.75–49.33 34.08–51.00 | 58.17 51.38–64.95 49.71–66.62 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 403 336–471 318–489 | 543 476–609 459–627 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.04 65.02–73.07 63.72–74.37 | 77.84 73.51–82.16 72.21–83.47 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 12.50 9.56–15.45 8.81–16.20 | 25.24 19.46–31.02 17.95–32.53 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.98 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.36 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.85–7.33 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 2.39 0.84–3.95 0.41–4.37 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.