Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.722.61safe0.92–2.860.00–1.580.79–4.44safer0.67–3.110.00–1.800.31–4.92
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.512.598.10safe3.65–7.370.84–4.334.49–11.70safer3.16–7.860.38–4.803.54–12.66
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.028.5924.61safe12.10–19.955.03–12.1517.12–32.10safer11.00–21.044.07–13.1115.07–34.15
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.984.5714.55safe7.04–12.921.89–7.258.93–20.17safer6.21–13.751.15–7.997.36–21.74
Blocked shots
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.386.39safe2.14–5.900.72–4.032.86–9.93safer1.59–6.440.23–4.521.82–10.96
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.222.889.10safe4.01–8.430.88–4.884.88–13.31safer3.43–9.010.34–5.413.78–14.42
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7640.90safe51.97–65.5534.12–47.69safer50.30–67.2232.45–49.36
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6044111015safe537–671345–477881–1149safer518–689327–495845–1184
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction77.3071.66safe73.27–81.3367.34–75.99safer71.98–82.6266.03–77.30
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3011.9323.23safe8.46–14.138.99–14.8817.45–29.01safer7.70–14.898.24–15.6315.94–30.52
Offsides
55%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.243.23safe0.82–3.150.15–2.340.97–5.48safer0.52–3.450.00–2.620.39–6.07
Yellow cards
33%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.943.55safe0.57–2.670.81–3.061.37–5.73safer0.30–2.930.52–3.360.82–6.29
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
13%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.863.705.56safe0.43–3.302.14–5.252.57–8.55safer0.04–3.681.72–5.681.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.80 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 65% 21% 13% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.37 3.16–7.86 | 2.59 0.84–4.33 0.38–4.80 | 8.10 4.49–11.70 3.54–12.66 | 80% |
| Total shots | 16.02 12.10–19.95 11.00–21.04 | 8.59 5.03–12.15 4.07–13.11 | 24.61 17.12–32.10 15.07–34.15 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 9.98 7.04–12.92 6.21–13.75 | 4.57 1.89–7.25 1.15–7.99 | 14.55 8.93–20.17 7.36–21.74 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 2.38 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.39 2.86–9.93 1.82–10.96 | 67% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 2.88 0.88–4.88 0.34–5.41 | 9.10 4.88–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 83% |
| Possession % | 58.76 51.97–65.55 50.30–67.22 | 40.90 34.12–47.69 32.45–49.36 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 604 537–671 518–689 | 411 345–477 327–495 | 1015 881–1149 845–1184 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.30 73.27–81.33 71.98–82.62 | 71.66 67.34–75.99 66.03–77.30 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 23.23 17.45–29.01 15.94–30.52 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.15 0.52–3.45 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 55% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.43–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 3.70 2.14–5.25 1.72–5.68 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 16% 13% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.