Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.422.54safe0.16–2.090.56–2.270.72–4.36safer0.00–2.340.33–2.500.24–4.84
Shots on target
34%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.728.77safe2.19–5.912.98–6.465.16–12.37safer1.70–6.402.51–6.934.20–13.33
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1813.6424.83safe7.26–15.1110.08–17.2017.34–32.31safer6.17–16.209.12–18.1615.29–34.36
Shots in box
28%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction6.297.9514.25safe3.35–9.235.27–10.638.62–19.87safer2.52–10.064.54–11.377.06–21.44
Blocked shots
26%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.736.34safe0.72–4.492.08–5.392.80–9.87safer0.18–5.031.59–5.881.77–10.91
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.095.379.45safe1.87–6.303.37–7.375.24–13.67safer1.30–6.872.83–7.904.13–14.77
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.3855.19safe38.59–52.1748.40–61.97safer36.92–53.8446.73–63.64
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction391465856safe324–458398–531722–989safer305–476381–549686–1025
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction70.5376.01safe66.50–74.5671.69–80.34safer65.21–75.8570.38–81.64
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3613.8128.17safe11.52–17.2010.87–16.7622.39–33.95safer10.77–17.9610.12–17.5020.89–35.46
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.412.86safe0.29–2.610.32–2.500.61–5.11safer0.00–2.910.03–2.790.02–5.70
Yellow cards
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.405.04safe1.59–3.691.27–3.532.87–7.22safer1.33–3.960.98–3.822.31–7.78
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.120.27safe0.00–0.310.00–0.310.00–0.62safer0.00–0.460.00–0.440.00–0.90
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.756.01safe1.83–4.701.19–4.303.02–9.00safer1.44–5.090.77–4.732.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.33 | 34% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.18 7.26–15.11 6.17–16.20 | 13.64 10.08–17.20 9.12–18.16 | 24.83 17.34–32.31 15.29–34.36 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 6.29 3.35–9.23 2.52–10.06 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.54–11.37 | 14.25 8.62–19.87 7.06–21.44 | 28% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.49 0.18–5.03 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.34 2.80–9.87 1.77–10.91 | 26% 15% 60% |
| Corners | 4.09 1.87–6.30 1.30–6.87 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.83–7.90 | 9.45 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.77 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 45.38 38.59–52.17 36.92–53.84 | 55.19 48.40–61.97 46.73–63.64 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 305–476 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.53 66.50–74.56 65.21–75.85 | 76.01 71.69–80.34 70.38–81.64 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 14.36 11.52–17.20 10.77–17.96 | 13.81 10.87–16.76 10.12–17.50 | 28.17 22.39–33.95 20.89–35.46 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.86 0.61–5.11 0.02–5.70 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.64 1.59–3.69 1.33–3.96 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 5.04 2.87–7.22 2.31–7.78 | 45% 18% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.75 1.19–4.30 0.77–4.73 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+