Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.660.822.48safe0.69–2.630.00–1.670.65–4.30safer0.44–2.880.00–1.900.17–4.78
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.008.25safe3.40–7.121.25–4.744.65–11.86safer2.91–7.610.79–5.203.69–12.82
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction15.878.7024.57safe11.95–19.805.14–12.2717.09–32.06safer10.85–20.894.18–13.2315.04–34.11
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction9.905.2715.17safe6.96–12.842.59–7.959.55–20.79safer6.13–13.671.85–8.697.98–22.36
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.005.99safe2.11–5.880.35–3.652.46–9.53safer1.57–6.420.00–4.141.42–10.56
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.579.76safe3.97–8.401.57–5.575.54–13.97safer3.40–8.981.04–6.104.44–15.08
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.6743.40safe49.88–63.4636.61–50.18safer48.21–65.1334.94–51.86
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction487377864safe420–554311–444731–998safer402–573293–461695–1034
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction76.1771.97safe72.15–80.2067.64–76.29safer70.85–81.5066.33–77.60
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7614.8827.65safe9.93–15.6011.94–17.8321.86–33.43safer9.17–16.3611.19–18.5720.36–34.93
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.262.70safe0.28–2.600.17–2.360.45–4.95safer0.00–2.900.00–2.640.00–5.54
Yellow cards
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.954.68safe0.68–2.771.82–4.082.50–6.86safer0.41–3.041.53–4.371.94–7.41
Red cards
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.170.31safe0.00–0.300.00–0.360.00–0.66safer0.00–0.450.00–0.490.00–0.94
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.635.75safe0.69–3.562.07–5.182.76–8.75safer0.30–3.951.64–5.611.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.48 0.65–4.30 0.17–4.78 | 57% 24% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.40–7.12 2.91–7.61 | 3.00 1.25–4.74 0.79–5.20 | 8.25 4.65–11.86 3.69–12.82 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.95–19.80 10.85–20.89 | 8.70 5.14–12.27 4.18–13.23 | 24.57 17.09–32.06 15.04–34.11 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.96–12.84 6.13–13.67 | 5.27 2.59–7.95 1.85–8.69 | 15.17 9.55–20.79 7.98–22.36 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 2.00 0.35–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 5.99 2.46–9.53 1.42–10.56 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.97–8.40 3.40–8.98 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.04–6.10 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 56.67 49.88–63.46 48.21–65.13 | 43.40 36.61–50.18 34.94–51.86 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–573 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.17 72.15–80.20 70.85–81.50 | 71.97 67.64–76.29 66.33–77.60 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.93–15.60 9.17–16.36 | 14.88 11.94–17.83 11.19–18.57 | 27.65 21.86–33.43 20.36–34.93 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.64 | 2.70 0.45–4.95 0.00–5.54 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.95 1.82–4.08 1.53–4.37 | 4.68 2.50–6.86 1.94–7.41 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.63 2.07–5.18 1.64–5.61 | 5.75 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.