Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 9·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.900.623.53safe1.94–3.870.00–1.481.70–5.35safer1.68–4.120.00–1.701.22–5.83
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.092.1210.21safe6.22–9.950.38–3.866.60–13.81safer5.73–10.440.00–4.335.65–14.77
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.857.4228.27safe16.93–24.783.86–10.9820.79–35.76safer15.84–25.872.90–11.9418.74–37.81
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.883.8217.70safe10.94–16.821.14–6.5012.07–23.32safer10.11–17.650.40–7.2410.51–24.89
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.111.566.68safe3.23–6.990.00–3.223.14–10.21safer2.69–7.540.00–3.712.10–11.25
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.692.3610.05safe5.48–9.900.36–4.365.84–14.27safer4.90–10.480.00–4.904.73–15.37
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9037.41safe56.11–69.6930.62–44.19safer54.44–71.3628.95–45.86
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction586354939safe519–653287–420806–1073safer501–671270–438770–1109
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction82.1971.38safe78.16–86.2267.06–75.71safer76.87–87.5165.75–77.02
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.2925.07safe8.95–14.6310.34–16.2319.29–30.86safer8.19–15.389.59–16.9817.79–32.36
Offsides
47%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.222.86safe0.48–2.800.13–2.310.61–5.11safer0.18–3.100.00–2.600.02–5.70
Yellow cards
23%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.544.13safe0.54–2.631.41–3.671.95–6.30safer0.27–2.901.12–3.961.39–6.86
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.23safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction1.704.896.59safe0.26–3.133.34–6.453.60–9.58safer0.00–3.522.91–6.872.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.90 1.94–3.87 1.68–4.12 | 0.62 0.00–1.48 0.00–1.70 | 3.53 1.70–5.35 1.22–5.83 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.09 6.22–9.95 5.73–10.44 | 2.12 0.38–3.86 0.00–4.33 | 10.21 6.60–13.81 5.65–14.77 | 96% |
| Total shots | 20.85 16.93–24.78 15.84–25.87 | 7.42 3.86–10.98 2.90–11.94 | 28.27 20.79–35.76 18.74–37.81 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.88 10.94–16.82 10.11–17.65 | 3.82 1.14–6.50 0.40–7.24 | 17.70 12.07–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.23–6.99 2.69–7.54 | 1.56 0.00–3.22 0.00–3.71 | 6.68 3.14–10.21 2.10–11.25 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.69 5.48–9.90 4.90–10.48 | 2.36 0.36–4.36 0.00–4.90 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 94% |
| Possession % | 62.90 56.11–69.69 54.44–71.36 | 37.41 30.62–44.19 28.95–45.86 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 586 519–653 501–671 | 354 287–420 270–438 | 939 806–1073 770–1109 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.19 78.16–86.22 76.87–87.51 | 71.38 67.06–75.71 65.75–77.02 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.19–15.38 | 13.29 10.34–16.23 9.59–16.98 | 25.07 19.29–30.86 17.79–32.36 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.22 0.13–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.86 0.61–5.11 0.02–5.70 | 47% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.54–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.54 1.41–3.67 1.12–3.96 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 23% 18% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.70 0.26–3.13 0.00–3.52 | 4.89 3.34–6.45 2.91–6.87 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.