Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
25%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.872.50safe0.66–2.590.02–1.730.67–4.32safer0.41–2.840.00–1.950.19–4.80
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.468.32safe3.00–6.731.71–5.204.72–11.93safer2.51–7.221.25–5.663.76–12.88
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7210.3825.10safe10.79–18.646.82–13.9417.61–32.59safer9.70–19.735.86–14.9015.56–34.64
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.086.0715.15safe6.13–12.023.39–8.759.53–20.77safer5.31–12.852.66–9.497.96–22.34
Blocked shots
61%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.546.28safe1.85–5.620.89–4.202.74–9.81safer1.31–6.160.40–4.691.71–10.85
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.819.33safe3.31–7.741.81–5.815.12–13.54safer2.74–8.311.27–6.344.01–14.65
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.0444.47safe49.25–62.8337.69–51.26safer47.58–64.5036.02–52.93
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction514408922safe447–581342–475788–1056safer428–599324–492753–1091
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction74.0472.61safe70.01–78.0768.28–76.93safer68.72–79.3666.97–78.24
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7911.8024.59safe9.95–15.638.86–14.7518.81–30.37safer9.20–16.388.11–15.5017.31–31.88
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.713.41safe0.54–2.860.62–2.801.15–5.66safer0.23–3.160.33–3.090.56–6.25
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.234.39safe1.12–3.211.10–3.362.21–6.57safer0.85–3.480.81–3.651.66–7.13
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.395.81safe0.98–3.861.83–4.942.81–8.80safer0.60–4.241.41–5.372.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.41–2.84 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 55% 25% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.22 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.66 | 8.32 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.88 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.72 10.79–18.64 9.70–19.73 | 10.38 6.82–13.94 5.86–14.90 | 25.10 17.61–32.59 15.56–34.64 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.08 6.13–12.02 5.31–12.85 | 6.07 3.39–8.75 2.66–9.49 | 15.15 9.53–20.77 7.96–22.34 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 2.54 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 6.28 2.74–9.81 1.71–10.85 | 61% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.27–6.34 | 9.33 5.12–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 56.04 49.25–62.83 47.58–64.50 | 44.47 37.69–51.26 36.02–52.93 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 428–599 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 922 788–1056 753–1091 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.04 70.01–78.07 68.72–79.36 | 72.61 68.28–76.93 66.97–78.24 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.79 9.95–15.63 9.20–16.38 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.50 | 24.59 18.81–30.37 17.31–31.88 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.12–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.66–7.13 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.86 0.60–4.24 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 5.81 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.