Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.560.713.27safe1.59–3.530.00–1.561.44–5.09safer1.34–3.780.00–1.790.96–5.57
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.902.619.51safe5.04–8.770.87–4.355.91–13.12safer4.55–9.260.40–4.824.95–14.07
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.497.7127.19safe15.56–23.414.14–11.2719.71–34.68safer14.47–24.503.19–12.2317.66–36.73
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.264.8918.15safe10.32–16.202.21–7.5712.53–23.77safer9.49–17.031.47–8.3110.96–25.34
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.221.887.10safe3.33–7.100.23–3.543.56–10.64safer2.79–7.640.00–4.032.53–11.67
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.763.1610.91safe5.54–9.971.16–5.166.70–15.13safer4.97–10.540.62–5.695.59–16.23
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.2334.93safe58.44–72.0228.15–41.72safer56.77–73.6926.48–43.39
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction628324952safe561–695257–390818–1086safer543–713240–408783–1121
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction82.3069.23safe78.27–86.3364.91–73.55safer76.98–87.6263.60–74.86
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8213.4224.23safe7.98–13.6510.47–16.3618.45–30.02safer7.22–14.419.72–17.1116.95–31.52
Offsides
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.233.02safe0.63–2.950.13–2.320.76–5.27safer0.33–3.250.00–2.610.17–5.86
Yellow cards
20%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.574.02safe0.41–2.511.44–3.691.85–6.20safer0.14–2.771.15–3.991.29–6.76
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.526.53safe0.58–3.452.96–6.073.54–9.52safer0.19–3.842.54–6.502.73–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.56 1.59–3.53 1.34–3.78 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.96–5.57 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.90 5.04–8.77 4.55–9.26 | 2.61 0.87–4.35 0.40–4.82 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 90% |
| Total shots | 19.49 15.56–23.41 14.47–24.50 | 7.71 4.14–11.27 3.19–12.23 | 27.19 19.71–34.68 17.66–36.73 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.26 10.32–16.20 9.49–17.03 | 4.89 2.21–7.57 1.47–8.31 | 18.15 12.53–23.77 10.96–25.34 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.33–7.10 2.79–7.64 | 1.88 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 7.10 3.56–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.76 5.54–9.97 4.97–10.54 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.62–5.69 | 10.91 6.70–15.13 5.59–16.23 | 90% |
| Possession % | 65.23 58.44–72.02 56.77–73.69 | 34.93 28.15–41.72 26.48–43.39 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 628 561–695 543–713 | 324 257–390 240–408 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.30 78.27–86.33 76.98–87.62 | 69.23 64.91–73.55 63.60–74.86 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.65 7.22–14.41 | 13.42 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.11 | 24.23 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.23 0.13–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.02 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.57 1.44–3.69 1.15–3.99 | 4.02 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 20% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 4.52 2.96–6.07 2.54–6.50 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.33 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.