Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.173.17safe0.03–1.961.32–3.031.35–4.99safer0.00–2.221.09–3.260.87–5.47
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.306.059.35safe1.44–5.164.31–7.795.74–12.95safer0.95–5.653.84–8.264.79–13.91
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2815.9427.23safe7.36–15.2112.38–19.5119.74–34.71safer6.26–16.3011.42–20.4717.69–36.76
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7610.5117.26safe3.82–9.707.82–13.1911.64–22.89safer2.99–10.537.09–13.9210.07–24.45
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.034.627.64safe1.14–4.912.97–6.274.11–11.18safer0.60–5.452.47–6.763.07–12.22
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.846.099.94safe1.63–6.064.09–8.095.72–14.15safer1.06–6.633.56–8.634.62–15.26
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction37.0563.78safe30.26–43.8457.00–70.57safer28.59–45.5155.33–72.24
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction338581919safe271–406514–647785–1053safer253–424497–665750–1088
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction65.8781.86safe61.84–69.8977.53–86.18safer60.54–71.1976.22–87.49
Fouls
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5810.9126.49safe12.75–18.427.96–13.8520.71–32.28safer11.99–19.187.22–14.6019.21–33.78
Offsides
35%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.532.95safe0.26–2.580.44–2.620.70–5.20safer0.00–2.880.15–2.910.11–5.79
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.803.83safe0.97–3.070.67–2.931.65–6.00safer0.71–3.340.38–3.221.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.436.38safe2.51–5.390.87–3.983.39–9.37safer2.13–5.770.45–4.412.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 2.17 1.32–3.03 1.09–3.26 | 3.17 1.35–4.99 0.87–5.47 | 16% 20% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.44–5.16 0.95–5.65 | 6.05 4.31–7.79 3.84–8.26 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.28 7.36–15.21 6.26–16.30 | 15.94 12.38–19.51 11.42–20.47 | 27.23 19.74–34.71 17.69–36.76 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.70 2.99–10.53 | 10.51 7.82–13.19 7.09–13.92 | 17.26 11.64–22.89 10.07–24.45 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.14–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 4.62 2.97–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 7.64 4.11–11.18 3.07–12.22 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 3.84 1.63–6.06 1.06–6.63 | 6.09 4.09–8.09 3.56–8.63 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 37.05 30.26–43.84 28.59–45.51 | 63.78 57.00–70.57 55.33–72.24 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 338 271–406 253–424 | 581 514–647 497–665 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.87 61.84–69.89 60.54–71.19 | 81.86 77.53–86.18 76.22–87.49 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 15.58 12.75–18.42 11.99–19.18 | 10.91 7.96–13.85 7.22–14.60 | 26.49 20.71–32.28 19.21–33.78 | 79% 16% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.83 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.95 2.51–5.39 2.13–5.77 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 66% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.