Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.012.44safe0.46–2.400.16–1.860.61–4.26safer0.21–2.650.00–2.090.13–4.74
Shots on target
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.247.93safe2.83–6.561.49–4.984.32–11.53safer2.34–7.051.03–5.443.37–12.49
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8010.1223.92safe9.87–17.726.56–13.6816.43–31.40safer8.78–18.815.60–14.6414.38–33.45
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction8.636.2814.91safe5.68–11.573.60–8.969.28–20.53safer4.85–12.402.86–9.707.72–22.10
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.076.55safe1.60–5.361.42–4.733.02–10.09safer1.05–5.900.93–5.221.98–11.12
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.143.718.85safe2.93–7.351.71–5.714.64–13.07safer2.35–7.931.18–6.253.53–14.18
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.7345.76safe46.94–60.5238.97–52.54safer45.27–62.1937.30–54.21
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction534436970safe467–601370–503836–1104safer449–619352–520801–1139
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction75.0073.53safe70.97–79.0369.21–77.86safer69.68–80.3267.90–79.17
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4412.9826.41safe10.60–16.2710.03–15.9220.63–32.20safer9.84–17.039.29–16.6719.13–33.70
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.302.96safe0.50–2.820.21–2.400.71–5.22safer0.20–3.120.00–2.680.12–5.81
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.284.61safe1.28–3.371.15–3.412.43–6.79safer1.01–3.640.86–3.701.87–7.34
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
28%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.125.40safe0.85–3.721.57–4.682.41–8.40safer0.46–4.111.14–5.101.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.01 0.16–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.44 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 47% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 3.24 1.49–4.98 1.03–5.44 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.37–12.49 | 63% 24% |
| Total shots | 13.80 9.87–17.72 8.78–18.81 | 10.12 6.56–13.68 5.60–14.64 | 23.92 16.43–31.40 14.38–33.45 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 6.28 3.60–8.96 2.86–9.70 | 14.91 9.28–20.53 7.72–22.10 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 3.07 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 6.55 3.02–10.09 1.98–11.12 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.25 | 8.85 4.64–13.07 3.53–14.18 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 53.73 46.94–60.52 45.27–62.19 | 45.76 38.97–52.54 37.30–54.21 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–619 | 436 370–503 352–520 | 970 836–1104 801–1139 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.00 70.97–79.03 69.68–80.32 | 73.53 69.21–77.86 67.90–79.17 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 13.44 10.60–16.27 9.84–17.03 | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.29–16.67 | 26.41 20.63–32.20 19.13–33.70 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.61 2.43–6.79 1.87–7.34 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.40 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 28% 17% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.