Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
28%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.222.34safe0.16–2.090.36–2.070.52–4.16safer0.00–2.340.14–2.300.04–4.64
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.037.91safe2.02–5.742.29–5.774.31–11.52safer1.53–6.231.82–6.243.35–12.47
Total shots
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1110.6923.80safe9.18–17.037.13–14.2516.31–31.28safer8.09–18.126.17–15.2114.26–33.33
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction7.457.1614.61safe4.51–10.404.48–9.848.99–20.24safer3.68–11.233.74–10.587.42–21.80
Blocked shots
58%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.475.93safe1.58–5.340.82–4.122.39–9.46safer1.03–5.890.32–4.611.36–10.50
Corners
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.068.78safe2.51–6.942.06–6.064.57–12.99safer1.94–7.511.52–6.593.46–14.10
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.0652.03safe41.27–54.8545.24–58.81safer39.60–56.5243.57–60.48
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction440488928safe373–507422–554794–1062safer355–525404–572759–1097
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction72.5175.87safe68.48–76.5471.54–80.19safer67.19–77.8370.24–81.50
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6214.1326.75safe9.79–15.4611.18–17.0720.97–32.54safer9.03–16.2210.44–17.8219.47–34.04
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.703.38safe0.51–2.830.61–2.801.12–5.63safer0.21–3.130.32–3.080.53–6.22
Yellow cards
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.874.96safe1.04–3.141.74–4.002.78–7.14safer0.78–3.411.45–4.292.22–7.69
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.150.30safe0.00–0.310.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.470.00–0.93
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.755.34safe1.15–4.021.19–4.312.35–8.33safer0.76–4.410.77–4.731.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.14–2.30 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 34% 28% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.74 1.53–6.23 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 7.91 4.31–11.52 3.35–12.47 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.11 9.18–17.03 8.09–18.12 | 10.69 7.13–14.25 6.17–15.21 | 23.80 16.31–31.28 14.26–33.33 | 65% 27% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.40 3.68–11.23 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 14.61 8.99–20.24 7.42–21.80 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.34 1.03–5.89 | 2.47 0.82–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 5.93 2.39–9.46 1.36–10.50 | 58% 16% 27% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.52–6.59 | 8.78 4.57–12.99 3.46–14.10 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Possession % | 48.06 41.27–54.85 39.60–56.52 | 52.03 45.24–58.81 43.57–60.48 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 488 422–554 404–572 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.51 68.48–76.54 67.19–77.83 | 75.87 71.54–80.19 70.24–81.50 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.62 9.79–15.46 9.03–16.22 | 14.13 11.18–17.07 10.44–17.82 | 26.75 20.97–32.54 19.47–34.04 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.87 1.74–4.00 1.45–4.29 | 4.96 2.78–7.14 2.22–7.69 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 2.75 1.19–4.31 0.77–4.73 | 5.34 2.35–8.33 1.53–9.14 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+