Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 10·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.722.493.21safe0.00–1.691.63–3.341.38–5.03safer0.00–1.941.40–3.570.90–5.51
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction2.846.599.43safe0.97–4.704.85–8.335.82–13.03safer0.49–5.194.38–8.804.87–13.99
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8818.0126.89safe4.96–12.8114.45–21.5719.41–34.38safer3.87–13.9013.49–22.5317.35–36.43
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction4.7812.5717.35safe1.84–7.729.89–15.2511.73–22.97safer1.01–8.559.15–15.9910.16–24.54
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.827.33safe0.63–4.393.16–6.473.79–10.86safer0.09–4.942.67–6.962.76–11.90
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.187.0610.24safe0.97–5.405.06–9.066.03–14.46safer0.40–5.974.53–9.594.92–15.56
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction31.9568.59safe25.16–38.7461.80–75.37safer23.49–40.4160.13–77.04
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction283601884safe216–350535–668751–1018safer198–368517–685715–1054
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction62.2581.77safe58.22–66.2877.45–86.10safer56.93–67.5776.14–87.41
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0012.4926.49safe11.16–16.839.55–15.4420.71–32.27safer10.40–17.598.80–16.1919.20–33.78
Offsides
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.733.02safe0.13–2.450.64–2.830.77–5.27safer0.00–2.750.35–3.110.18–5.86
Yellow cards
62%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.921.774.69safe1.87–3.970.64–2.902.51–6.87safer1.61–4.240.35–3.191.96–7.43
Red cards
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.200.120.32safe0.04–0.360.00–0.300.00–0.67safer0.00–0.510.00–0.440.00–0.95
GK saves
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.126.54safe2.99–5.860.56–3.683.55–9.53safer2.60–6.250.14–4.102.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.72 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.94 | 2.49 1.63–3.34 1.40–3.57 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 15% 76% |
| Shots on target | 2.84 0.97–4.70 0.49–5.19 | 6.59 4.85–8.33 4.38–8.80 | 9.43 5.82–13.03 4.87–13.99 | 86% |
| Total shots | 8.88 4.96–12.81 3.87–13.90 | 18.01 14.45–21.57 13.49–22.53 | 26.89 19.41–34.38 17.35–36.43 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 4.78 1.84–7.72 1.01–8.55 | 12.57 9.89–15.25 9.15–15.99 | 17.35 11.73–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 2.51 0.63–4.39 0.09–4.94 | 4.82 3.16–6.47 2.67–6.96 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.18 0.97–5.40 0.40–5.97 | 7.06 5.06–9.06 4.53–9.59 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 86% |
| Possession % | 31.95 25.16–38.74 23.49–40.41 | 68.59 61.80–75.37 60.13–77.04 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 283 216–350 198–368 | 601 535–668 517–685 | 884 751–1018 715–1054 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.25 58.22–66.28 56.93–67.57 | 81.77 77.45–86.10 76.14–87.41 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 14.00 11.16–16.83 10.40–17.59 | 12.49 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 26.49 20.71–32.27 19.20–33.78 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.29 0.13–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.92 1.87–3.97 1.61–4.24 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 4.69 2.51–6.87 1.96–7.43 | 62% 17% 22% |
| Red cards | 0.20 0.04–0.36 0.00–0.51 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 17% 74% |
| GK saves | 4.42 2.99–5.86 2.60–6.25 | 2.12 0.56–3.68 0.14–4.10 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 76% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+