Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.280.753.03safe1.31–3.250.00–1.611.21–4.85safer1.06–3.500.00–1.830.73–5.33
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.242.859.09safe4.38–8.101.11–4.595.48–12.69safer3.89–8.590.64–5.064.53–13.65
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.028.5426.57safe14.10–21.954.98–12.1019.08–34.05safer13.01–23.044.02–13.0617.03–36.10
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.915.3317.24safe8.97–14.852.65–8.0111.61–22.86safer8.14–15.681.91–8.7510.05–24.43
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.266.80safe2.66–6.430.61–3.913.27–10.34safer2.12–6.970.12–4.412.23–11.38
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.073.0610.13safe4.85–9.281.06–5.065.91–14.34safer4.28–9.850.53–5.604.81–15.45
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.3940.60safe51.60–65.1833.82–47.38safer49.93–66.8532.14–49.06
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction523367890safe455–590301–434756–1024safer437–608283–451721–1059
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction74.9069.01safe70.87–78.9364.68–73.33safer69.58–80.2263.37–74.64
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7012.6624.36safe8.86–14.539.72–15.6118.58–30.14safer8.10–15.298.97–16.3617.07–31.65
Offsides
69%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.083.58safe1.35–3.670.00–2.171.33–5.84safer1.05–3.970.00–2.460.74–6.43
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.383.74safe0.31–2.411.26–3.511.56–5.92safer0.04–2.670.96–3.801.01–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.043.815.85safe0.61–3.482.25–5.372.86–8.84safer0.22–3.871.83–5.792.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.83 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.24 4.38–8.10 3.89–8.59 | 2.85 1.11–4.59 0.64–5.06 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.53–13.65 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.02 14.10–21.95 13.01–23.04 | 8.54 4.98–12.10 4.02–13.06 | 26.57 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.91 8.97–14.85 8.14–15.68 | 5.33 2.65–8.01 1.91–8.75 | 17.24 11.61–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.26 0.61–3.91 0.12–4.41 | 6.80 3.27–10.34 2.23–11.38 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 7.07 4.85–9.28 4.28–9.85 | 3.06 1.06–5.06 0.53–5.60 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 87% |
| Possession % | 58.39 51.60–65.18 49.93–66.85 | 40.60 33.82–47.38 32.14–49.06 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 367 301–434 283–451 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.90 70.87–78.93 69.58–80.22 | 69.01 64.68–73.33 63.37–74.64 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 12.66 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 24.36 18.58–30.14 17.07–31.65 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 1.08 0.00–2.17 0.00–2.46 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.38 1.26–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 3.81 2.25–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.