Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.902.74safe0.00–1.811.04–2.750.92–4.57safer0.00–2.070.82–2.980.44–5.05
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.205.338.53safe1.34–5.063.59–7.074.92–12.13safer0.85–5.553.12–7.543.97–13.09
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8714.6825.55safe6.95–14.8011.11–18.2418.06–33.04safer5.86–15.8910.15–19.2016.01–35.09
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3710.1916.56safe3.43–9.317.51–12.8710.94–22.18safer2.60–10.146.77–13.619.37–23.75
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.444.107.54safe1.55–5.322.45–5.764.00–11.07safer1.01–5.861.96–6.252.97–12.11
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.629.59safe1.76–6.183.62–7.625.38–13.81safer1.18–6.763.09–8.164.27–14.91
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.3557.74safe35.56–49.1450.95–64.52safer33.89–50.8149.28–66.20
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction371490861safe304–438424–556727–994safer285–456406–574691–1030
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.4574.79safe61.42–69.4870.47–79.12safer60.12–70.7769.16–80.43
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.8925.44safe9.71–15.389.94–15.8319.65–31.22safer8.95–16.149.20–16.5818.15–32.72
Offsides
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.483.79safe0.15–2.471.39–3.581.54–6.04safer0.00–2.771.10–3.860.95–6.63
Yellow cards
54%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.644.02safe1.34–3.430.51–2.771.85–6.20safer1.07–3.700.22–3.061.29–6.76
Red cards
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.080.26safe0.01–0.330.00–0.270.00–0.60safer0.00–0.480.00–0.400.00–0.89
GK saves
58%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.405.77safe1.94–4.810.84–3.952.78–8.77safer1.55–5.200.42–4.381.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.07 | 1.90 1.04–2.75 0.82–2.98 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 16% 22% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.20 1.34–5.06 0.85–5.55 | 5.33 3.59–7.07 3.12–7.54 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.87 6.95–14.80 5.86–15.89 | 14.68 11.11–18.24 10.15–19.20 | 25.55 18.06–33.04 16.01–35.09 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.37 3.43–9.31 2.60–10.14 | 10.19 7.51–12.87 6.77–13.61 | 16.56 10.94–22.18 9.37–23.75 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.10 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.54 4.00–11.07 2.97–12.11 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 3.97 1.76–6.18 1.18–6.76 | 5.62 3.62–7.62 3.09–8.16 | 9.59 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.91 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 42.35 35.56–49.14 33.89–50.81 | 57.74 50.95–64.52 49.28–66.20 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 371 304–438 285–456 | 490 424–556 406–574 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.45 61.42–69.48 60.12–70.77 | 74.79 70.47–79.12 69.16–80.43 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 12.89 9.94–15.83 9.20–16.58 | 25.44 19.65–31.22 18.15–32.72 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 2.48 1.39–3.58 1.10–3.86 | 3.79 1.54–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.34–3.43 1.07–3.70 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 4.02 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 54% 19% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 15% 79% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.42–4.38 | 5.77 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 58% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.