Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.460.912.37safe0.49–2.430.06–1.770.55–4.19safer0.24–2.680.00–1.990.07–4.67
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.488.37safe3.03–6.761.74–5.224.77–11.98safer2.54–7.251.27–5.693.81–12.93
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1011.0226.12safe11.18–19.037.46–14.5818.63–33.61safer10.09–20.126.50–15.5416.58–35.66
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.626.2115.83safe6.68–12.563.53–8.8910.21–21.45safer5.85–13.392.79–9.628.64–23.02
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.886.92safe2.16–5.931.22–4.533.39–10.46safer1.62–6.470.73–5.022.35–11.49
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.0110.05safe3.83–8.262.01–6.015.84–14.27safer3.26–8.831.47–6.544.73–15.37
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.4745.75safe46.68–60.2638.96–52.53safer45.01–61.9337.29–54.20
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction441349790safe374–508282–415656–924safer356–526265–433620–959
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction70.3668.75safe66.33–74.3964.43–73.08safer65.04–75.6863.12–74.39
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7412.9626.71safe10.91–16.5810.02–15.9120.93–32.49safer10.15–17.349.27–16.6619.42–33.99
Offsides
39%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.362.81safe0.29–2.610.27–2.450.55–5.06safer0.00–2.910.00–2.740.00–5.65
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.224.15safe0.89–2.991.09–3.351.98–6.33safer0.62–3.250.80–3.641.42–6.89
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.466.03safe1.13–4.011.90–5.023.04–9.02safer0.75–4.391.48–5.442.23–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–1.99 | 2.37 0.55–4.19 0.07–4.67 | 50% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 3.48 1.74–5.22 1.27–5.69 | 8.37 4.77–11.98 3.81–12.93 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 11.02 7.46–14.58 6.50–15.54 | 26.12 18.63–33.61 16.58–35.66 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.68–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.62 | 15.83 10.21–21.45 8.64–23.02 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 2.88 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.83–8.26 3.26–8.83 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.47–6.54 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 53.47 46.68–60.26 45.01–61.93 | 45.75 38.96–52.53 37.29–54.20 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–526 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 790 656–924 620–959 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.36 66.33–74.39 65.04–75.68 | 68.75 64.43–73.08 63.12–74.39 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.74 10.91–16.58 10.15–17.34 | 12.96 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 26.71 20.93–32.49 19.42–33.99 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.81 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 39% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.15 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.01 0.75–4.39 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.23–9.83 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.