Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.232.40safe0.20–2.140.38–2.090.58–4.23safer0.00–2.390.15–2.320.10–4.70
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.244.058.28safe2.37–6.102.30–5.794.68–11.89safer1.88–6.591.84–6.253.72–12.84
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4312.5225.94safe9.50–17.358.95–16.0818.46–33.43safer8.41–18.447.99–17.0416.41–35.48
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.668.1315.78safe4.72–10.605.45–10.8110.16–21.41safer3.89–11.434.71–11.548.59–22.97
Blocked shots
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.296.90safe1.73–5.501.63–4.943.36–10.43safer1.19–6.041.14–5.432.33–11.47
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.235.0810.30safe3.01–7.443.08–7.086.09–14.52safer2.44–8.012.54–7.614.98–15.62
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.5551.49safe42.76–56.3444.70–58.27safer41.09–58.0143.03–59.94
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction376396772safe308–443330–463638–905safer290–461312–480602–941
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction65.4069.71safe61.37–69.4365.38–74.03safer60.08–70.7264.08–75.34
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9114.1327.03safe10.07–15.7411.18–17.0721.25–32.82safer9.31–16.5010.43–17.8219.75–34.32
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.483.11safe0.46–2.780.39–2.580.85–5.36safer0.16–3.080.10–2.870.26–5.95
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.074.18safe1.06–3.160.94–3.202.00–6.36safer0.79–3.430.65–3.491.45–6.92
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.995.76safe1.33–4.211.43–4.542.76–8.75safer0.95–4.591.01–4.971.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.40 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.70 | 35% 28% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.37–6.10 1.88–6.59 | 4.05 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.25 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.43 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 12.52 8.95–16.08 7.99–17.04 | 25.94 18.46–33.43 16.41–35.48 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 7.66 4.72–10.60 3.89–11.43 | 8.13 5.45–10.81 4.71–11.54 | 15.78 10.16–21.41 8.59–22.97 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.29 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 47% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.54–7.61 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.62 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 49.55 42.76–56.34 41.09–58.01 | 51.49 44.70–58.27 43.03–59.94 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 376 308–443 290–461 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 772 638–905 602–941 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.40 61.37–69.43 60.08–70.72 | 69.71 65.38–74.03 64.08–75.34 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.07–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 14.13 11.18–17.07 10.43–17.82 | 27.03 21.25–32.82 19.75–34.32 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.79–3.43 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.18 2.00–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.21 0.95–4.59 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 5.76 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+