Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.632.56safe0.00–1.900.77–2.480.74–4.38safer0.00–2.150.55–2.710.26–4.86
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.284.888.16safe1.42–5.143.14–6.624.56–11.77safer0.93–5.632.67–7.093.60–12.72
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4713.7924.27safe6.55–14.4010.23–17.3616.78–31.75safer5.45–15.499.27–18.3214.73–33.80
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction5.658.8114.46safe2.71–8.596.13–11.508.84–20.09safer1.88–9.425.40–12.237.27–21.65
Blocked shots
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.536.33safe0.92–4.691.88–5.182.80–9.87safer0.38–5.231.39–5.681.76–10.90
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.359.29safe1.73–6.153.35–7.355.07–13.50safer1.15–6.732.81–7.883.97–14.61
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.6258.39safe34.83–48.4151.61–65.18safer33.16–50.0849.94–66.85
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction380555935safe312–447489–622801–1069safer294–465471–639765–1104
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction68.6578.22safe64.62–72.6873.90–82.55safer63.33–73.9872.59–83.86
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4113.5126.92safe10.57–16.2410.57–16.4621.14–32.70safer9.81–17.009.82–17.2119.64–34.21
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.603.23safe0.47–2.790.50–2.690.98–5.48safer0.17–3.090.22–2.980.39–6.07
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.324.70safe1.33–3.431.19–3.452.53–6.88safer1.07–3.700.90–3.741.97–7.44
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
59%
16%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.355.77safe1.98–4.850.80–3.912.78–8.76safer1.59–5.240.37–4.331.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.55–2.71 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 21% 25% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.28 1.42–5.14 0.93–5.63 | 4.88 3.14–6.62 2.67–7.09 | 8.16 4.56–11.77 3.60–12.72 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.47 6.55–14.40 5.45–15.49 | 13.79 10.23–17.36 9.27–18.32 | 24.27 16.78–31.75 14.73–33.80 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 5.65 2.71–8.59 1.88–9.42 | 8.81 6.13–11.50 5.40–12.23 | 14.46 8.84–20.09 7.27–21.65 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.80 0.92–4.69 0.38–5.23 | 3.53 1.88–5.18 1.39–5.68 | 6.33 2.80–9.87 1.76–10.90 | 31% 16% 53% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.73–6.15 1.15–6.73 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.81–7.88 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 41.62 34.83–48.41 33.16–50.08 | 58.39 51.61–65.18 49.94–66.85 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 380 312–447 294–465 | 555 489–622 471–639 | 935 801–1069 765–1104 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.65 64.62–72.68 63.33–73.98 | 78.22 73.90–82.55 72.59–83.86 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.41 10.57–16.24 9.81–17.00 | 13.51 10.57–16.46 9.82–17.21 | 26.92 21.14–32.70 19.64–34.21 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.33–3.43 1.07–3.70 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.70 2.53–6.88 1.97–7.44 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.85 1.59–5.24 | 2.35 0.80–3.91 0.37–4.33 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.97–9.58 | 59% 16% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.