Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.832.84safe1.04–2.980.00–1.691.02–4.66safer0.79–3.230.00–1.910.54–5.14
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.782.778.56safe3.92–7.651.03–4.524.95–12.16safer3.43–8.140.57–4.984.00–13.12
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.578.5225.08safe12.64–20.494.96–12.0817.60–32.57safer11.55–21.584.00–13.0415.55–34.62
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.314.8415.15safe7.37–13.252.16–7.529.53–20.77safer6.54–14.081.42–8.267.96–22.34
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.406.74safe2.45–6.220.75–4.063.20–10.27safer1.91–6.760.26–4.552.17–11.31
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.189.37safe3.99–8.411.18–5.185.16–13.59safer3.41–8.990.64–5.714.05–14.70
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction58.9339.95safe52.14–65.7233.17–46.74safer50.47–67.3931.50–48.41
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction589389978safe521–656323–456844–1111safer503–674305–473808–1147
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction77.8371.31safe73.81–81.8666.98–75.63safer72.51–83.1665.68–76.94
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4112.3324.74safe9.57–15.249.38–15.2718.95–30.52safer8.81–16.008.64–16.0217.45–32.02
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.312.97safe0.51–2.830.21–2.400.72–5.22safer0.20–3.130.00–2.690.13–5.81
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.003.76safe0.71–2.810.87–3.131.59–5.94safer0.44–3.080.58–3.421.03–6.50
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.013.996.00safe0.57–3.452.43–5.553.01–8.99safer0.19–3.832.01–5.972.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.91 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 65% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.65 3.43–8.14 | 2.77 1.03–4.52 0.57–4.98 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.57 12.64–20.49 11.55–21.58 | 8.52 4.96–12.08 4.00–13.04 | 25.08 17.60–32.57 15.55–34.62 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.37–13.25 6.54–14.08 | 4.84 2.16–7.52 1.42–8.26 | 15.15 9.53–20.77 7.96–22.34 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.40 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.17–11.31 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.41 3.41–8.99 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.64–5.71 | 9.37 5.16–13.59 4.05–14.70 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.93 52.14–65.72 50.47–67.39 | 39.95 33.17–46.74 31.50–48.41 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 589 521–656 503–674 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.83 73.81–81.86 72.51–83.16 | 71.31 66.98–75.63 65.68–76.94 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 12.41 9.57–15.24 8.81–16.00 | 12.33 9.38–15.27 8.64–16.02 | 24.74 18.95–30.52 17.45–32.02 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.97 0.72–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.08 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.76 1.59–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.57–3.45 0.19–3.83 | 3.99 2.43–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+