Ballileo
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 20·
BenficaBenficaVSMoreirenseMoreirense

Predicted match statistics

StatHomepred / safe / saferAwaypred / safe / saferTotalpred / safe / saferWho wins
Goals
2.76
1.79–3.73
1.54–3.98
0.64
0.00–1.49
0.00–1.72
3.39
1.57–5.22
1.09–5.70
81%
Shots on target
7.44
5.58–9.30
5.09–9.79
2.48
0.74–4.23
0.28–4.69
9.92
6.32–13.53
5.36–14.48
93%
Total shots
19.57
15.65–23.50
14.56–24.59
7.84
4.28–11.40
3.32–12.36
27.41
19.92–34.90
17.87–36.95
99%
Shots in box
14.22
11.28–17.16
10.45–17.99
4.55
1.87–7.23
1.13–7.97
18.77
13.14–24.39
11.58–25.96
99%
Blocked shots
5.11
3.23–6.99
2.69–7.54
2.00
0.35–3.65
0.00–4.15
7.11
3.58–10.65
2.54–11.68
84%
Corners
7.56
5.34–9.77
4.77–10.34
2.92
0.92–4.92
0.39–5.46
10.48
6.27–14.69
5.16–15.80
90%
Possession %
65.72
58.93–72.51
57.26–74.18
35.32
28.53–42.10
26.86–43.77
—
96%
Passes
605
538–672
520–690
327
261–394
244–411
933
799–1066
763–1102
99%
Pass accuracy %
81.57
77.54–85.60
76.25–86.89
69.68
65.36–74.01
64.05–75.32
—
93%
Fouls
11.56
8.73–14.40
7.97–15.16
13.20
10.25–16.14
9.50–16.89
24.76
18.98–30.54
17.47–32.05
33%
59%
Offsides
2.12
0.96–3.28
0.65–3.58
1.17
0.08–2.27
0.00–2.55
3.29
1.04–5.54
0.45–6.13
59%
21%
20%
Yellow cards
1.45
0.40–2.50
0.13–2.76
2.54
1.41–3.67
1.12–3.96
3.99
1.81–6.17
1.25–6.72
21%
18%
61%
Red cards
0.06
0.00–0.22
0.00–0.37
0.13
0.00–0.32
0.00–0.45
0.19
0.00–0.53
0.00–0.82
84%
GK saves
1.91
0.47–3.34
0.08–3.73
4.64
3.09–6.20
2.66–6.62
6.55
3.56–9.54
2.75–10.36
81%

safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent

Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.