Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.082.65safe0.60–2.530.23–1.940.82–4.47safer0.35–2.790.00–2.160.34–4.95
Shots on target
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.437.96safe2.67–6.391.69–5.174.35–11.56safer2.18–6.881.22–5.643.40–12.52
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5610.6324.19safe9.63–17.487.07–14.1916.70–31.68safer8.54–18.586.11–15.1514.65–33.73
Shots in box
62%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.546.8015.35safe5.60–11.494.12–9.499.73–20.97safer4.77–12.323.39–10.228.16–22.54
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.046.71safe1.79–5.551.39–4.703.18–10.25safer1.24–6.090.90–5.192.14–11.28
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.483.789.26safe3.27–7.691.78–5.785.05–13.48safer2.69–8.271.25–6.323.94–14.58
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.8640.83safe52.07–65.6534.05–47.61safer50.40–67.3232.37–49.29
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction566376942safe499–633310–443809–1076safer481–651292–460773–1112
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction74.0669.13safe70.03–78.0964.80–73.45safer68.74–79.3863.49–74.76
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7812.9325.71safe9.94–15.629.98–15.8719.93–31.49safer9.19–16.379.24–16.6218.42–33.00
Offsides
45%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.282.90safe0.46–2.780.19–2.370.65–5.16safer0.16–3.080.00–2.660.06–5.74
Yellow cards
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.134.22safe1.05–3.151.00–3.252.05–6.40safer0.78–3.410.71–3.551.49–6.96
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.095.42safe0.89–3.761.54–4.652.42–8.41safer0.50–4.151.11–5.071.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.53 0.35–2.79 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 7.96 4.35–11.56 3.40–12.52 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.58 | 10.63 7.07–14.19 6.11–15.15 | 24.19 16.70–31.68 14.65–33.73 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 6.80 4.12–9.49 3.39–10.22 | 15.35 9.73–20.97 8.16–22.54 | 62% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 9.26 5.05–13.48 3.94–14.58 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 58.86 52.07–65.65 50.40–67.32 | 40.83 34.05–47.61 32.37–49.29 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 566 499–633 481–651 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.06 70.03–78.09 68.74–79.38 | 69.13 64.80–73.45 63.49–74.76 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.94–15.62 9.19–16.37 | 12.93 9.98–15.87 9.24–16.62 | 25.71 19.93–31.49 18.42–33.00 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.74 | 45% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.71–3.55 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.42 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+