Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
28%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.340.852.19safe0.37–2.310.00–1.710.37–4.02safer0.12–2.560.00–1.930.00–4.50
Shots on target
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.177.63safe2.60–6.331.42–4.914.02–11.23safer2.11–6.820.96–5.373.07–12.19
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5410.6724.21safe9.61–17.467.11–14.2316.72–31.70safer8.52–18.556.15–15.1914.67–33.75
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction8.735.3914.12safe5.79–11.682.71–8.078.50–19.74safer4.96–12.511.97–8.806.93–21.31
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.686.41safe1.85–5.611.03–4.332.87–9.94safer1.30–6.160.53–4.821.84–10.98
Corners
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.739.26safe3.32–7.741.73–5.735.05–13.48safer2.74–8.321.20–6.273.94–14.58
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.8751.70safe41.08–54.6644.91–58.48safer39.41–56.3343.24–60.15
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction421452873safe354–488385–518739–1006safer335–506368–536703–1042
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction70.3472.50safe66.31–74.3768.17–76.82safer65.02–75.6666.86–78.13
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3312.2425.57safe10.49–16.179.29–15.1819.79–31.35safer9.74–16.928.54–15.9318.28–32.85
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.343.11safe0.61–2.930.24–2.430.86–5.36safer0.31–3.230.00–2.720.27–5.95
Yellow cards
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.893.77safe0.84–2.940.76–3.011.60–5.95safer0.57–3.200.47–3.311.04–6.51
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.035.33safe0.87–3.741.47–4.582.34–8.32safer0.48–4.131.05–5.011.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 2.19 0.37–4.02 0.00–4.50 | 48% 28% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 3.17 1.42–4.91 0.96–5.37 | 7.63 4.02–11.23 3.07–12.19 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 10.67 7.11–14.23 6.15–15.19 | 24.21 16.72–31.70 14.67–33.75 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.73 5.79–11.68 4.96–12.51 | 5.39 2.71–8.07 1.97–8.80 | 14.12 8.50–19.74 6.93–21.31 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.16 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.41 2.87–9.94 1.84–10.98 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.74 2.74–8.32 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.20–6.27 | 9.26 5.05–13.48 3.94–14.58 | 66% 22% |
| Possession % | 47.87 41.08–54.66 39.41–56.33 | 51.70 44.91–58.48 43.24–60.15 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 421 354–488 335–506 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 873 739–1006 703–1042 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.34 66.31–74.37 65.02–75.66 | 72.50 68.17–76.82 66.86–78.13 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 13.33 10.49–16.17 9.74–16.92 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 25.57 19.79–31.35 18.28–32.85 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.77 1.60–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.05–5.01 | 5.33 2.34–8.32 1.53–9.14 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.