Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.662.69safe0.06–2.000.81–2.520.87–4.51safer0.00–2.250.58–2.740.39–4.99
Shots on target
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.538.09safe1.70–5.432.79–6.274.49–11.70safer1.21–5.922.32–6.743.53–12.65
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9812.2424.23safe8.06–15.918.68–15.8116.74–31.72safer6.97–17.007.72–16.7714.69–33.77
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction6.838.2615.09safe3.89–9.775.58–10.949.46–20.71safer3.06–10.604.84–11.687.90–22.28
Blocked shots
48%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.166.70safe1.65–5.411.51–4.823.16–10.23safer1.11–5.961.02–5.312.12–11.27
Corners
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.959.59safe2.43–6.852.95–6.955.37–13.80safer1.85–7.432.41–7.484.27–14.91
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.0556.17safe37.26–50.8449.38–62.95safer35.59–52.5147.71–64.63
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction418536954safe350–485470–603820–1087safer332–503452–620784–1123
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.1576.84safe64.12–72.1872.51–81.16safer62.83–73.4771.20–82.47
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2612.6524.91safe9.42–15.109.70–15.5919.13–30.69safer8.67–15.858.96–16.3417.62–32.20
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.504.16safe0.50–2.831.40–3.591.91–6.41safer0.20–3.131.11–3.881.32–7.00
Yellow cards
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.784.04safe1.21–3.310.65–2.911.86–6.22safer0.95–3.580.36–3.201.31–6.78
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
46%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.645.59safe1.51–4.381.09–4.202.60–8.58safer1.12–4.770.66–4.621.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 8.09 4.49–11.70 3.53–12.65 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.98 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.00 | 12.24 8.68–15.81 7.72–16.77 | 24.23 16.74–31.72 14.69–33.77 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.77 3.06–10.60 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.68 | 15.09 9.46–20.71 7.90–22.28 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.41 1.11–5.96 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.27 | 48% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.41–7.48 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 44.05 37.26–50.84 35.59–52.51 | 56.17 49.38–62.95 47.71–64.63 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 418 350–485 332–503 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.15 64.12–72.18 62.83–73.47 | 76.84 72.51–81.16 71.20–82.47 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.10 8.67–15.85 | 12.65 9.70–15.59 8.96–16.34 | 24.91 19.13–30.69 17.62–32.20 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 2.50 1.40–3.59 1.11–3.88 | 4.16 1.91–6.41 1.32–7.00 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.64 1.09–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 46% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+