Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.580.892.47safe0.61–2.550.04–1.750.65–4.29safer0.36–2.800.00–1.970.17–4.77
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.188.46safe3.42–7.141.44–4.934.86–12.07safer2.93–7.630.98–5.393.90–13.02
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.669.7425.40safe11.74–19.596.17–13.3017.91–32.89safer10.65–20.685.21–14.2615.86–34.94
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.955.5015.45safe7.00–12.892.82–8.199.83–21.07safer6.17–13.722.09–8.928.26–22.64
Blocked shots
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.296.21safe2.04–5.810.63–3.942.67–9.74safer1.50–6.350.14–4.431.64–10.78
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.999.99safe3.79–8.211.99–5.995.78–14.21safer3.21–8.791.46–6.524.67–15.31
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.9149.47safe44.12–57.7042.68–56.25safer42.45–59.3741.01–57.92
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction424414838safe357–491348–481705–972safer339–509330–498669–1008
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.3771.91safe65.34–73.4067.58–76.23safer64.05–74.7066.27–77.54
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8213.5727.39safe10.98–16.6610.63–16.5221.61–33.17safer10.23–17.419.88–17.2620.10–34.68
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.212.59safe0.22–2.540.12–2.300.34–4.84safer0.00–2.840.00–2.590.00–5.43
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.514.42safe0.86–2.961.38–3.642.24–6.60safer0.60–3.231.09–3.931.69–7.16
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.505.80safe0.87–3.741.94–5.062.81–8.79safer0.48–4.131.52–5.482.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 54% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.28 3.42–7.14 2.93–7.63 | 3.18 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.02 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.66 11.74–19.59 10.65–20.68 | 9.74 6.17–13.30 5.21–14.26 | 25.40 17.91–32.89 15.86–34.94 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.17–13.72 | 5.50 2.82–8.19 2.09–8.92 | 15.45 9.83–21.07 8.26–22.64 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 2.29 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 67% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 50.91 44.12–57.70 42.45–59.37 | 49.47 42.68–56.25 41.01–57.92 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–509 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 838 705–972 669–1008 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.37 65.34–73.40 64.05–74.70 | 71.91 67.58–76.23 66.27–77.54 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.82 10.98–16.66 10.23–17.41 | 13.57 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.26 | 27.39 21.61–33.17 20.10–34.68 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.21 0.12–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 2.59 0.34–4.84 0.00–5.43 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.51 1.38–3.64 1.09–3.93 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 2.00–9.61 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.