Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.683.03safe1.39–3.320.00–1.531.21–4.85safer1.13–3.570.00–1.760.73–5.33
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.692.769.46safe4.83–8.551.02–4.515.85–13.06safer4.34–9.040.56–4.974.90–14.02
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.649.0928.73safe15.71–23.565.53–12.6621.24–36.22safer14.62–24.654.57–13.6219.19–38.27
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.745.0417.78safe9.80–15.682.36–7.7212.16–23.41safer8.97–16.511.62–8.4610.59–24.97
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.242.307.54safe3.36–7.120.65–3.964.01–11.08safer2.82–7.670.16–4.452.97–12.11
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.593.0410.63safe5.38–9.811.04–5.046.42–14.85safer4.81–10.380.51–5.575.31–15.95
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9636.69safe56.17–69.7529.91–43.48safer54.50–71.4228.24–45.15
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction541294834safe473–608227–360700–968safer455–626210–378665–1003
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.6467.57safe72.61–80.6763.25–71.90safer71.32–81.9661.94–73.21
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7513.1225.87safe9.91–15.5910.17–16.0620.09–31.65safer9.15–16.349.43–16.8118.58–33.15
Offsides
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.062.76safe0.53–2.850.00–2.160.50–5.01safer0.23–3.160.00–2.450.00–5.60
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.293.75safe0.42–2.521.16–3.411.57–5.93safer0.15–2.780.87–3.711.02–6.49
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.064.286.34safe0.62–3.492.72–5.843.34–9.33safer0.23–3.882.30–6.262.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.39–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 0.68 0.00–1.53 0.00–1.76 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 75% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.55 4.34–9.04 | 2.76 1.02–4.51 0.56–4.97 | 9.46 5.85–13.06 4.90–14.02 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.64 15.71–23.56 14.62–24.65 | 9.09 5.53–12.66 4.57–13.62 | 28.73 21.24–36.22 19.19–38.27 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.74 9.80–15.68 8.97–16.51 | 5.04 2.36–7.72 1.62–8.46 | 17.78 12.16–23.41 10.59–24.97 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.24 3.36–7.12 2.82–7.67 | 2.30 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.59 5.38–9.81 4.81–10.38 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.57 | 10.63 6.42–14.85 5.31–15.95 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.96 56.17–69.75 54.50–71.42 | 36.69 29.91–43.48 28.24–45.15 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 541 473–608 455–626 | 294 227–360 210–378 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.64 72.61–80.67 71.32–81.96 | 67.57 63.25–71.90 61.94–73.21 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.15–16.34 | 13.12 10.17–16.06 9.43–16.81 | 25.87 20.09–31.65 18.58–33.15 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.06 0.00–2.16 0.00–2.45 | 2.76 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.29 1.16–3.41 0.87–3.71 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 4.28 2.72–5.84 2.30–6.26 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 13% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.