Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.192.74safe0.58–2.520.33–2.040.92–4.56safer0.33–2.770.11–2.270.44–5.04
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.049.18safe3.28–7.012.29–5.785.58–12.79safer2.79–7.501.83–6.254.62–13.74
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9011.3526.25safe10.97–18.827.79–14.9118.76–33.74safer9.88–19.916.83–15.8716.71–35.79
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.547.5717.11safe6.60–12.484.89–10.2511.49–22.73safer5.77–13.314.15–10.999.92–24.30
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.967.31safe2.47–6.231.31–4.613.77–10.85safer1.93–6.780.81–5.102.74–11.88
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.3210.17safe3.64–8.072.32–6.325.96–14.38safer3.07–8.641.78–6.854.85–15.49
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0246.00safe47.23–60.8139.22–52.79safer45.56–62.4837.55–54.46
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction488392879safe420–555325–458745–1013safer402–573308–476710–1048
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction76.0172.50safe71.98–80.0468.17–76.82safer70.69–81.3366.86–78.13
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6414.1625.80safe8.81–14.4811.21–17.1020.02–31.58safer8.05–15.2410.47–17.8518.51–33.09
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.562.97safe0.25–2.570.46–2.650.71–5.22safer0.00–2.870.17–2.940.13–5.81
Yellow cards
36%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.574.90safe1.28–3.381.44–3.702.72–7.08safer1.01–3.641.15–3.992.16–7.64
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
32%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.356.09safe1.31–4.181.79–4.903.10–9.08safer0.92–4.571.37–5.332.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 4.04 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.74 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 11.35 7.79–14.91 6.83–15.87 | 26.25 18.76–33.74 16.71–35.79 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.54 6.60–12.48 5.77–13.31 | 7.57 4.89–10.25 4.15–10.99 | 17.11 11.49–22.73 9.92–24.30 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.93–6.78 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.31 3.77–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.02 47.23–60.81 45.56–62.48 | 46.00 39.22–52.79 37.55–54.46 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 488 420–555 402–573 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.01 71.98–80.04 70.69–81.33 | 72.50 68.17–76.82 66.86–78.13 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.81–14.48 8.05–15.24 | 14.16 11.21–17.10 10.47–17.85 | 25.80 20.02–31.58 18.51–33.09 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 2.97 0.71–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.01–3.64 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 4.90 2.72–7.08 2.16–7.64 | 36% 18% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 32% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+