Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.342.64safe0.34–2.280.48–2.190.82–4.47safer0.09–2.530.25–2.420.34–4.95
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.378.88safe2.65–6.372.63–6.115.27–12.48safer2.16–6.862.16–6.584.32–13.44
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1313.3327.46safe10.21–18.069.77–16.8919.97–34.95safer9.12–19.158.81–17.8517.92–37.00
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.858.5217.37safe5.91–11.795.84–11.2011.75–23.00safer5.08–12.625.11–11.9410.18–24.56
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.657.45safe1.92–5.682.00–5.303.91–10.98safer1.37–6.231.50–5.792.88–12.02
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.375.1110.48safe3.16–7.583.11–7.116.27–14.70safer2.58–8.162.58–7.655.16–15.81
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.2754.74safe38.48–52.0647.95–61.52safer36.81–53.7346.28–63.19
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction371452823safe304–439386–519690–957safer286–457368–536654–993
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction65.6570.74safe61.62–69.6766.42–75.07safer60.32–70.9765.11–76.38
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1712.7324.90safe9.33–15.019.79–15.6819.12–30.68safer8.58–15.769.04–16.4217.62–32.19
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.373.31safe0.77–3.100.28–2.461.05–5.56safer0.47–3.400.00–2.750.46–6.15
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.043.88safe0.79–2.890.91–3.171.70–6.06safer0.52–3.160.62–3.461.14–6.61
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.052.976.02safe1.61–4.481.41–4.533.02–9.01safer1.22–4.870.99–4.952.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 13.33 9.77–16.89 8.81–17.85 | 27.46 19.97–34.95 17.92–37.00 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.91–11.79 5.08–12.62 | 8.52 5.84–11.20 5.11–11.94 | 17.37 11.75–23.00 10.18–24.56 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.37–6.23 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.58 2.58–8.16 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.65 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.81 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 45.27 38.48–52.06 36.81–53.73 | 54.74 47.95–61.52 46.28–63.19 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 371 304–439 286–457 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 823 690–957 654–993 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.65 61.62–69.67 60.32–70.97 | 70.74 66.42–75.07 65.11–76.38 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.33–15.01 8.58–15.76 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.42 | 24.90 19.12–30.68 17.62–32.19 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.77–3.10 0.47–3.40 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.16 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.97 1.41–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.