Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.222.43safe0.23–2.170.37–2.080.60–4.25safer0.00–2.420.14–2.310.12–4.73
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.967.93safe2.10–5.832.22–5.714.32–11.53safer1.61–6.321.75–6.173.37–12.49
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6812.4624.13safe7.75–15.608.89–16.0216.65–31.62safer6.66–16.697.93–16.9814.60–33.67
Shots in box
35%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction6.777.6814.45safe3.83–9.715.00–10.368.83–20.08safer3.00–10.544.26–11.107.26–21.64
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.206.29safe1.21–4.981.55–4.852.76–9.83safer0.67–5.521.05–5.341.72–10.86
Corners
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.839.22safe2.18–6.612.83–6.835.01–13.43safer1.61–7.182.29–7.363.90–14.54
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction53.0447.50safe46.25–59.8340.71–54.28safer44.58–61.5039.04–55.96
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction452391843safe384–519325–458709–976safer366–537307–475673–1012
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction70.6572.10safe66.62–74.6767.77–76.42safer65.32–75.9766.47–77.73
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0414.7927.83safe10.20–15.8811.85–17.7422.05–33.61safer9.44–16.6311.10–18.4920.55–35.12
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.423.04safe0.46–2.780.33–2.510.79–5.29safer0.16–3.080.04–2.800.20–5.88
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.284.30safe0.97–3.071.16–3.412.13–6.48safer0.70–3.330.86–3.701.57–7.04
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.925.75safe1.40–4.271.36–4.472.76–8.75safer1.01–4.660.94–4.901.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.10–5.83 1.61–6.32 | 3.96 2.22–5.71 1.75–6.17 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.37–12.49 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 12.46 8.89–16.02 7.93–16.98 | 24.13 16.65–31.62 14.60–33.67 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 6.77 3.83–9.71 3.00–10.54 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 14.45 8.83–20.08 7.26–21.64 | 35% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.21–4.98 0.67–5.52 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 6.29 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.86 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.18–6.61 1.61–7.18 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.29–7.36 | 9.22 5.01–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 53.04 46.25–59.83 44.58–61.50 | 47.50 40.71–54.28 39.04–55.96 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 452 384–519 366–537 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 843 709–976 673–1012 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.65 66.62–74.67 65.32–75.97 | 72.10 67.77–76.42 66.47–77.73 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.20–15.88 9.44–16.63 | 14.79 11.85–17.74 11.10–18.49 | 27.83 22.05–33.61 20.55–35.12 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.04 0.79–5.29 0.20–5.88 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.30 2.13–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.75 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.