Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.152.52safe0.40–2.340.29–2.000.70–4.34safer0.15–2.590.07–2.230.22–4.82
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.728.13safe2.55–6.271.98–5.464.52–11.73safer2.06–6.761.51–5.933.57–12.69
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4710.8125.28safe10.55–18.407.25–14.3717.80–32.77safer9.46–19.496.29–15.3315.75–34.82
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.286.6814.96safe5.33–11.224.00–9.369.33–20.58safer4.51–12.053.26–10.107.76–22.15
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.786.46safe1.79–5.551.13–4.442.92–9.99safer1.25–6.100.64–4.931.89–11.03
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.229.45safe3.01–7.442.22–6.225.23–13.66safer2.44–8.011.69–6.764.13–14.77
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.1041.85safe52.31–65.8935.07–48.64safer50.64–67.5633.40–50.31
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction523365888safe456–590298–431754–1021safer437–608281–449718–1057
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction72.8369.83safe68.80–76.8665.51–74.15safer67.51–78.1664.20–75.46
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9912.8825.86safe10.15–15.829.93–15.8220.08–31.64safer9.39–16.589.18–16.5718.58–33.15
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.843.45safe0.45–2.770.74–2.931.19–5.70safer0.15–3.070.46–3.220.60–6.29
Yellow cards
40%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.194.36safe1.11–3.211.06–3.322.18–6.53safer0.85–3.480.77–3.611.62–7.09
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.065.58safe1.09–3.961.51–4.622.59–8.58safer0.70–4.351.08–5.041.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 8.13 4.52–11.73 3.57–12.69 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.47 10.55–18.40 9.46–19.49 | 10.81 7.25–14.37 6.29–15.33 | 25.28 17.80–32.77 15.75–34.82 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.33–11.22 4.51–12.05 | 6.68 4.00–9.36 3.26–10.10 | 14.96 9.33–20.58 7.76–22.15 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 2.78 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.46 2.92–9.99 1.89–11.03 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 9.45 5.23–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 59.10 52.31–65.89 50.64–67.56 | 41.85 35.07–48.64 33.40–50.31 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 437–608 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.83 68.80–76.86 67.51–78.16 | 69.83 65.51–74.15 64.20–75.46 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.99 10.15–15.82 9.39–16.58 | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 25.86 20.08–31.64 18.58–33.15 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.36 2.18–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 40% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.58 2.59–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+