Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.750.803.55safe1.78–3.720.00–1.651.73–5.37safer1.53–3.970.00–1.881.25–5.85
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.812.999.79safe4.95–8.671.24–4.736.19–13.40safer4.46–9.160.78–5.195.23–14.36
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.818.7427.54safe14.88–22.735.17–12.3020.06–35.03safer13.79–23.824.21–13.2618.01–37.08
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.865.7218.58safe9.92–15.803.04–8.4112.96–24.21safer9.09–16.632.31–9.1411.39–25.77
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.377.09safe2.85–6.610.71–4.023.56–10.63safer2.30–7.150.22–4.512.52–11.66
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.103.4410.54safe4.89–9.311.44–5.446.32–14.75safer4.31–9.890.90–5.975.22–15.86
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.1236.50safe57.33–70.9129.71–43.28safer55.66–72.5828.04–44.95
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction597329926safe530–664262–395792–1060safer512–682245–413757–1095
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction80.0569.50safe76.02–84.0865.18–73.83safer74.73–85.3763.87–75.13
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7713.4424.21safe7.93–13.6110.49–16.3818.43–29.99safer7.18–14.369.75–17.1316.92–31.50
Offsides
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.162.73safe0.41–2.730.07–2.250.47–4.98safer0.10–3.030.00–2.540.00–5.57
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.403.97safe0.52–2.621.27–3.531.80–6.15safer0.26–2.890.98–3.821.24–6.71
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.184.086.26safe0.74–3.612.53–5.643.27–9.26safer0.36–4.002.10–6.072.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.75 1.78–3.72 1.53–3.97 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 3.55 1.73–5.37 1.25–5.85 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.81 4.95–8.67 4.46–9.16 | 2.99 1.24–4.73 0.78–5.19 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.36 | 86% |
| Total shots | 18.81 14.88–22.73 13.79–23.82 | 8.74 5.17–12.30 4.21–13.26 | 27.54 20.06–35.03 18.01–37.08 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.86 9.92–15.80 9.09–16.63 | 5.72 3.04–8.41 2.31–9.14 | 18.58 12.96–24.21 11.39–25.77 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.37 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 7.10 4.89–9.31 4.31–9.89 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.90–5.97 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 84% |
| Possession % | 64.12 57.33–70.91 55.66–72.58 | 36.50 29.71–43.28 28.04–44.95 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 597 530–664 512–682 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.05 76.02–84.08 74.73–85.37 | 69.50 65.18–73.83 63.87–75.13 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.61 7.18–14.36 | 13.44 10.49–16.38 9.75–17.13 | 24.21 18.43–29.99 16.92–31.50 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.16 0.07–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 2.73 0.47–4.98 0.00–5.57 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.61 0.36–4.00 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.07 | 6.26 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.