Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.490.812.31safe0.52–2.460.00–1.670.48–4.13safer0.27–2.710.00–1.900.00–4.61
Shots on target
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.007.48safe2.62–6.351.25–4.743.87–11.08safer2.13–6.840.79–5.202.92–12.04
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction13.619.2422.85safe9.68–17.535.68–12.8015.36–30.33safer8.59–18.624.72–13.7613.31–32.38
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.005.1714.17safe6.05–11.942.49–7.858.54–19.79safer5.22–12.771.75–8.596.98–21.36
Blocked shots
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.345.97safe1.74–5.500.69–4.002.43–9.50safer1.20–6.050.20–4.491.39–10.54
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.473.368.83safe3.26–7.681.36–5.364.62–13.05safer2.68–8.260.83–5.903.51–14.15
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.9945.75safe47.20–60.7838.96–52.53safer45.53–62.4537.29–54.20
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction459387846safe392–526320–453712–979safer373–544303–471676–1015
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction84.1880.04safe80.15–88.2175.71–84.36safer78.86–89.5074.41–85.67
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.6824.41safe8.90–14.579.74–15.6318.63–30.20safer8.14–15.338.99–16.3717.13–31.70
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.463.18safe0.56–2.880.37–2.550.93–5.44safer0.26–3.180.08–2.840.34–6.02
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.183.98safe0.75–2.851.05–3.311.80–6.16safer0.48–3.120.76–3.601.24–6.71
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.005.25safe0.81–3.691.44–4.552.25–8.24safer0.43–4.071.02–4.981.44–9.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.31 0.48–4.13 0.00–4.61 | 53% 26% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 3.00 1.25–4.74 0.79–5.20 | 7.48 3.87–11.08 2.92–12.04 | 64% 23% |
| Total shots | 13.61 9.68–17.53 8.59–18.62 | 9.24 5.68–12.80 4.72–13.76 | 22.85 15.36–30.33 13.31–32.38 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.05–11.94 5.22–12.77 | 5.17 2.49–7.85 1.75–8.59 | 14.17 8.54–19.79 6.98–21.36 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.20–6.05 | 2.34 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 5.97 2.43–9.50 1.39–10.54 | 62% 15% 23% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.83–5.90 | 8.83 4.62–13.05 3.51–14.15 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.99 47.20–60.78 45.53–62.45 | 45.75 38.96–52.53 37.29–54.20 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 373–544 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 846 712–979 676–1015 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.18 80.15–88.21 78.86–89.50 | 80.04 75.71–84.36 74.41–85.67 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.37 | 24.41 18.63–30.20 17.13–31.70 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.02 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.12 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.71 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.69 0.43–4.07 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.02–4.98 | 5.25 2.25–8.24 1.44–9.05 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

