Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
29%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.222.17safe0.00–1.920.37–2.080.35–4.00safer0.00–2.170.14–2.300.00–4.48
Shots on target
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.987.23safe1.39–5.112.24–5.723.63–10.84safer0.90–5.601.77–6.192.67–11.79
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4912.1122.60safe6.57–14.428.55–15.6715.11–30.09safer5.48–15.517.59–16.6313.06–32.14
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction6.737.8214.54safe3.79–9.675.13–10.508.92–20.17safer2.96–10.504.40–11.237.35–21.73
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.206.20safe1.12–4.881.54–4.852.66–9.73safer0.57–5.431.05–5.341.63–10.77
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.954.918.86safe1.74–6.162.91–6.914.65–13.07safer1.16–6.742.38–7.443.54–14.18
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.4651.80safe41.67–55.2545.01–58.58safer40.00–56.9243.34–60.25
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction406430836safe339–473363–496702–969safer321–491346–514666–1005
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction81.0482.76safe77.01–85.0778.44–87.09safer75.72–86.3677.13–88.40
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3512.7326.08safe10.51–16.199.78–15.6720.29–31.86safer9.75–16.949.03–16.4218.79–33.36
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.623.23safe0.45–2.770.53–2.710.98–5.48safer0.15–3.070.24–3.000.39–6.07
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.084.10safe0.97–3.070.95–3.201.92–6.28safer0.71–3.340.66–3.501.36–6.83
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.515.13safe1.18–4.060.96–4.072.14–8.13safer0.80–4.440.53–4.491.33–8.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.30 | 2.17 0.35–4.00 0.00–4.48 | 29% 29% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.25 1.39–5.11 0.90–5.60 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 7.23 3.63–10.84 2.67–11.79 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Total shots | 10.49 6.57–14.42 5.48–15.51 | 12.11 8.55–15.67 7.59–16.63 | 22.60 15.11–30.09 13.06–32.14 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 6.73 3.79–9.67 2.96–10.50 | 7.82 5.13–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 14.54 8.92–20.17 7.35–21.73 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.88 0.57–5.43 | 3.20 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 6.20 2.66–9.73 1.63–10.77 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 3.95 1.74–6.16 1.16–6.74 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.44 | 8.86 4.65–13.07 3.54–14.18 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 48.46 41.67–55.25 40.00–56.92 | 51.80 45.01–58.58 43.34–60.25 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 406 339–473 321–491 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.04 77.01–85.07 75.72–86.36 | 82.76 78.44–87.09 77.13–88.40 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.19 9.75–16.94 | 12.73 9.78–15.67 9.03–16.42 | 26.08 20.29–31.86 18.79–33.36 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 2.08 0.95–3.20 0.66–3.50 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 2.51 0.96–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 5.13 2.14–8.13 1.33–8.94 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

