Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.370.783.14safe1.40–3.330.00–1.631.32–4.97safer1.15–3.590.00–1.860.84–5.44
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.172.9110.08safe5.31–9.041.16–4.656.48–13.69safer4.82–9.530.70–5.115.52–14.64
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.748.3928.13safe15.82–23.674.83–11.9520.65–35.62safer14.73–24.763.87–12.9118.59–37.67
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.914.7517.66safe9.97–15.852.07–7.4312.04–23.28safer9.14–16.681.33–8.1710.47–24.85
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.381.817.19safe3.50–7.270.16–3.463.66–10.73safer2.96–7.810.00–3.962.62–11.76
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.682.8610.54safe5.47–9.890.86–4.866.32–14.75safer4.89–10.470.32–5.395.22–15.86
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2137.06safe56.42–70.0130.28–43.85safer54.76–71.6728.60–45.52
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction561329889safe493–628262–395756–1023safer475–646245–413720–1059
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction85.9575.10safe81.92–89.9870.78–79.43safer80.63–91.2769.47–80.73
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6512.7925.44safe9.82–15.499.84–15.7319.66–31.22safer9.06–16.259.09–16.4818.15–32.73
Offsides
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.683.12safe0.27–2.590.59–2.780.86–5.37safer0.00–2.890.30–3.060.27–5.96
Yellow cards
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.744.39safe0.60–2.701.61–3.862.21–6.57safer0.34–2.971.32–4.161.65–7.12
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.160.24safe0.00–0.240.00–0.350.00–0.59safer0.00–0.390.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.034.696.71safe0.59–3.463.13–6.243.72–9.71safer0.20–3.852.71–6.672.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.37 1.40–3.33 1.15–3.59 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.44 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.17 5.31–9.04 4.82–9.53 | 2.91 1.16–4.65 0.70–5.11 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.74 15.82–23.67 14.73–24.76 | 8.39 4.83–11.95 3.87–12.91 | 28.13 20.65–35.62 18.59–37.67 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.91 9.97–15.85 9.14–16.68 | 4.75 2.07–7.43 1.33–8.17 | 17.66 12.04–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.38 3.50–7.27 2.96–7.81 | 1.81 0.16–3.46 0.00–3.96 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.68 5.47–9.89 4.89–10.47 | 2.86 0.86–4.86 0.32–5.39 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 91% |
| Possession % | 63.21 56.42–70.01 54.76–71.67 | 37.06 30.28–43.85 28.60–45.52 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 561 493–628 475–646 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.95 81.92–89.98 80.63–91.27 | 75.10 70.78–79.43 69.47–80.73 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.82–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 12.79 9.84–15.73 9.09–16.48 | 25.44 19.66–31.22 18.15–32.73 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.06 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.74 1.61–3.86 1.32–4.16 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.65–7.12 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 4.69 3.13–6.24 2.71–6.67 | 6.71 3.72–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.