Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
19%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.143.03safe0.00–1.861.28–2.991.21–4.85safer0.00–2.111.05–3.220.73–5.33
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.956.189.12safe1.08–4.814.43–7.925.52–12.73safer0.60–5.303.97–8.394.56–13.69
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0516.4026.45safe6.12–13.9712.84–19.9718.96–33.94safer5.03–15.0611.88–20.9216.91–35.99
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1310.8216.95safe3.19–9.078.14–13.5011.33–22.57safer2.36–9.907.40–14.249.76–24.14
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.707.15safe0.57–4.333.05–6.363.62–10.69safer0.02–4.872.56–6.852.58–11.72
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.869.33safe1.26–5.683.86–7.865.12–13.55safer0.68–6.263.33–8.404.01–14.65
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1360.51safe32.34–45.9253.72–67.29safer30.67–47.5952.05–68.96
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction344537881safe277–412471–604748–1015safer259–430453–621712–1051
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction74.9384.44safe70.90–78.9680.11–88.76safer69.60–80.2578.80–90.07
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4312.7126.14safe10.59–16.269.77–15.6620.36–31.92safer9.83–17.029.02–16.4118.85–33.43
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.453.33safe0.72–3.040.36–2.541.08–5.59safer0.42–3.340.07–2.830.49–6.18
Yellow cards
46%
19%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.034.40safe1.32–3.420.90–3.162.22–6.58safer1.05–3.680.61–3.451.66–7.14
Red cards
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.26safe0.00–0.320.00–0.290.00–0.61safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.89
GK saves
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.296.52safe2.80–5.670.73–3.853.53–9.51safer2.41–6.060.31–4.272.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.14 1.28–2.99 1.05–3.22 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 15% 19% 66% |
| Shots on target | 2.95 1.08–4.81 0.60–5.30 | 6.18 4.43–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.69 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.05 6.12–13.97 5.03–15.06 | 16.40 12.84–19.97 11.88–20.92 | 26.45 18.96–33.94 16.91–35.99 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.19–9.07 2.36–9.90 | 10.82 8.14–13.50 7.40–14.24 | 16.95 11.33–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.45 0.57–4.33 0.02–4.87 | 4.70 3.05–6.36 2.56–6.85 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.47 1.26–5.68 0.68–6.26 | 5.86 3.86–7.86 3.33–8.40 | 9.33 5.12–13.55 4.01–14.65 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 39.13 32.34–45.92 30.67–47.59 | 60.51 53.72–67.29 52.05–68.96 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 344 277–412 259–430 | 537 471–604 453–621 | 881 748–1015 712–1051 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.93 70.90–78.96 69.60–80.25 | 84.44 80.11–88.76 78.80–90.07 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.43 10.59–16.26 9.83–17.02 | 12.71 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 26.14 20.36–31.92 18.85–33.43 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.05–3.68 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.66–7.14 | 46% 19% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 13% 78% |
| GK saves | 4.23 2.80–5.67 2.41–6.06 | 2.29 0.73–3.85 0.31–4.27 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.72–10.33 | 71% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

