Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.532.83safe0.33–2.270.67–2.381.00–4.65safer0.08–2.520.45–2.610.52–5.13
Shots on target
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.729.69safe3.10–6.832.98–6.466.08–13.29safer2.61–7.322.51–6.935.13–14.25
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8713.4227.29safe9.94–17.799.86–16.9819.80–34.77safer8.85–18.888.90–17.9417.75–36.83
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.028.8816.90safe5.08–10.966.19–11.5611.27–22.52safer4.25–11.795.46–12.299.71–24.09
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.547.31safe1.88–5.651.89–5.203.77–10.84safer1.34–6.191.40–5.692.74–11.88
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.0610.20safe2.93–7.353.06–7.065.99–14.41safer2.35–7.932.53–7.594.88–15.52
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.0244.67safe48.23–61.8137.88–51.45safer46.56–63.4836.21–53.12
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction388300688safe321–455234–367555–822safer303–474216–384519–858
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction78.4372.26safe74.40–82.4667.93–76.58safer73.11–83.7666.63–77.89
Fouls
13%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0816.4427.52safe8.25–13.9213.50–19.3821.74–33.30safer7.49–14.6812.75–20.1320.24–34.81
Offsides
16%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.754.09safe0.17–2.491.66–3.851.83–6.34safer0.00–2.791.37–4.131.24–6.93
Yellow cards
30%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.374.19safe0.77–2.871.24–3.502.01–6.37safer0.50–3.130.95–3.791.45–6.93
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.286.23safe1.51–4.391.72–4.833.23–9.22safer1.13–4.771.30–5.262.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 2.83 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 47% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.94–17.79 8.85–18.88 | 13.42 9.86–16.98 8.90–17.94 | 27.29 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.83 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.02 5.08–10.96 4.25–11.79 | 8.88 6.19–11.56 5.46–12.29 | 16.90 11.27–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 3.54 1.89–5.20 1.40–5.69 | 7.31 3.77–10.84 2.74–11.88 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.20 5.99–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 55.02 48.23–61.81 46.56–63.48 | 44.67 37.88–51.45 36.21–53.12 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–474 | 300 234–367 216–384 | 688 555–822 519–858 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.43 74.40–82.46 73.11–83.76 | 72.26 67.93–76.58 66.63–77.89 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 16.44 13.50–19.38 12.75–20.13 | 27.52 21.74–33.30 20.24–34.81 | 13% 82% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 2.75 1.66–3.85 1.37–4.13 | 4.09 1.83–6.34 1.24–6.93 | 16% 16% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.93 | 30% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+