Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.813.01safe1.23–3.160.00–1.671.18–4.83safer0.97–3.410.00–1.900.70–5.31
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.0810.00safe5.06–8.781.33–4.826.39–13.60safer4.57–9.270.87–5.285.44–14.56
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.919.2227.13safe13.99–21.845.66–12.7819.64–34.62safer12.89–22.934.70–13.7417.59–36.67
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.225.3117.53safe9.28–15.162.63–7.9911.90–23.15safer8.45–15.991.89–8.7210.34–24.72
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.247.11safe2.98–6.750.59–3.893.57–10.64safer2.44–7.290.10–4.392.53–11.68
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.123.1610.28safe4.91–9.331.16–5.166.07–14.49safer4.33–9.910.63–5.694.96–15.60
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8839.56safe54.09–67.6732.77–46.34safer52.42–69.3431.10–48.01
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction503321825safe436–570255–388691–958safer418–589237–405655–994
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction85.9675.80safe81.93–89.9971.48–80.12safer80.64–91.2870.17–81.43
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9412.4124.35safe9.10–14.789.47–15.3618.57–30.13safer8.34–15.538.72–16.1117.07–31.64
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.284.07safe0.63–2.951.18–3.371.81–6.32safer0.33–3.250.89–3.661.22–6.91
Yellow cards
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.714.42safe0.66–2.761.58–3.842.24–6.60safer0.39–3.021.29–4.131.68–7.16
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.276.42safe0.70–3.582.72–5.833.42–9.41safer0.32–3.962.29–6.262.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.23–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.92 5.06–8.78 4.57–9.27 | 3.08 1.33–4.82 0.87–5.28 | 10.00 6.39–13.60 5.44–14.56 | 86% |
| Total shots | 17.91 13.99–21.84 12.89–22.93 | 9.22 5.66–12.78 4.70–13.74 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.22 9.28–15.16 8.45–15.99 | 5.31 2.63–7.99 1.89–8.72 | 17.53 11.90–23.15 10.34–24.72 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.10–4.39 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.68 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.91–9.33 4.33–9.91 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.63–5.69 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 86% |
| Possession % | 60.88 54.09–67.67 52.42–69.34 | 39.56 32.77–46.34 31.10–48.01 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 418–589 | 321 255–388 237–405 | 825 691–958 655–994 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.96 81.93–89.99 80.64–91.28 | 75.80 71.48–80.12 70.17–81.43 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.78 8.34–15.53 | 12.41 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 24.35 18.57–30.13 17.07–31.64 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.28 1.18–3.37 0.89–3.66 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.68–7.16 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.58 0.32–3.96 | 4.27 2.72–5.83 2.29–6.26 | 6.42 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

