Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.293.20safe0.00–1.881.43–3.141.38–5.02safer0.00–2.131.21–3.370.90–5.50
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.465.549.00safe1.59–5.323.80–7.285.39–12.60safer1.10–5.813.33–7.754.44–13.56
Total shots
20%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1915.0626.25safe7.26–15.1111.50–18.6218.76–33.74safer6.17–16.2110.54–19.5816.71–35.79
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5210.9017.42safe3.57–9.468.22–13.5811.80–23.04safer2.74–10.297.48–14.3210.23–24.61
Blocked shots
23%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.884.317.19safe1.00–4.772.66–5.963.66–10.73safer0.46–5.312.16–6.462.62–11.76
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.815.689.50safe1.60–6.033.68–7.685.28–13.71safer1.03–6.603.15–8.224.18–14.82
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.4058.15safe34.61–48.1951.37–64.94safer32.94–49.8649.70–66.61
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction349480829safe282–417413–546695–963safer264–435396–564660–998
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction76.9784.31safe72.94–80.9979.99–88.63safer71.64–82.2978.68–89.94
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7712.1824.95safe9.93–15.619.23–15.1219.17–30.73safer9.18–16.368.48–15.8717.66–32.24
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.561.824.38safe1.40–3.720.73–2.912.13–6.64safer1.10–4.020.44–3.201.54–7.23
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.134.32safe1.14–3.241.00–3.262.15–6.50safer0.88–3.510.71–3.551.59–7.06
Red cards
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.090.27safe0.02–0.340.00–0.270.00–0.61safer0.00–0.490.00–0.410.00–0.90
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.486.04safe2.13–5.000.92–4.033.05–9.04safer1.74–5.390.50–4.462.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.29 1.43–3.14 1.21–3.37 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 13% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.46 1.59–5.32 1.10–5.81 | 5.54 3.80–7.28 3.33–7.75 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.19 7.26–15.11 6.17–16.21 | 15.06 11.50–18.62 10.54–19.58 | 26.25 18.76–33.74 16.71–35.79 | 20% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.52 3.57–9.46 2.74–10.29 | 10.90 8.22–13.58 7.48–14.32 | 17.42 11.80–23.04 10.23–24.61 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.88 1.00–4.77 0.46–5.31 | 4.31 2.66–5.96 2.16–6.46 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 23% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 3.81 1.60–6.03 1.03–6.60 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.22 | 9.50 5.28–13.71 4.18–14.82 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.40 34.61–48.19 32.94–49.86 | 58.15 51.37–64.94 49.70–66.61 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 349 282–417 264–435 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.97 72.94–80.99 71.64–82.29 | 84.31 79.99–88.63 78.68–89.94 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.36 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 24.95 19.17–30.73 17.66–32.24 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.56 1.40–3.72 1.10–4.02 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.38 2.13–6.64 1.54–7.23 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.32 2.15–6.50 1.59–7.06 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 15% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.48 0.92–4.03 0.50–4.46 | 6.04 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.