Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.832.98safe0.18–2.120.98–2.691.16–4.80safer0.00–2.370.75–2.920.68–5.28
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.775.419.18safe1.91–5.643.66–7.155.58–12.79safer1.42–6.133.20–7.624.62–13.74
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3014.9726.28safe7.38–15.2311.41–18.5418.79–33.76safer6.29–16.3210.45–19.5016.74–35.81
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.989.1516.14safe4.04–9.926.47–11.8410.51–21.76safer3.21–10.755.74–12.578.95–23.33
Blocked shots
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.766.40safe0.76–4.522.11–5.412.86–9.93safer0.21–5.071.61–5.901.83–10.97
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.459.43safe1.77–6.203.45–7.455.22–13.65safer1.20–6.772.91–7.984.11–14.75
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.1359.13safe33.33–46.9252.34–65.91safer31.67–48.5950.67–67.59
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction333496829safe265–400430–563695–963safer247–418412–580660–998
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction78.2586.35safe74.22–82.2782.03–90.68safer72.92–83.5780.72–91.99
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0014.7725.78safe8.16–13.8411.83–17.7219.99–31.56safer7.41–14.6011.08–18.4718.49–33.06
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.413.19safe0.62–2.940.32–2.500.94–5.45safer0.32–3.240.03–2.790.35–6.04
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.414.70safe1.24–3.341.28–3.542.52–6.87safer0.97–3.600.99–3.831.96–7.43
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.676.43safe2.33–5.201.12–4.233.44–9.43safer1.94–5.590.69–4.652.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.91–5.64 1.42–6.13 | 5.41 3.66–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.74 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.30 7.38–15.23 6.29–16.32 | 14.97 11.41–18.54 10.45–19.50 | 26.28 18.79–33.76 16.74–35.81 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.98 4.04–9.92 3.21–10.75 | 9.15 6.47–11.84 5.74–12.57 | 16.14 10.51–21.76 8.95–23.33 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.64 0.76–4.52 0.21–5.07 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 6.40 2.86–9.93 1.83–10.97 | 26% 15% 59% |
| Corners | 3.99 1.77–6.20 1.20–6.77 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.91–7.98 | 9.43 5.22–13.65 4.11–14.75 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 40.13 33.33–46.92 31.67–48.59 | 59.13 52.34–65.91 50.67–67.59 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 333 265–400 247–418 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.25 74.22–82.27 72.92–83.57 | 86.35 82.03–90.68 80.72–91.99 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 14.77 11.83–17.72 11.08–18.47 | 25.78 19.99–31.56 18.49–33.06 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.97–3.60 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.70 2.52–6.87 1.96–7.43 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.67 1.12–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 6.43 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+