Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.912.85safe0.98–2.910.05–1.761.03–4.67safer0.73–3.160.00–1.990.55–5.15
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.329.49safe4.31–8.031.58–5.075.89–13.10safer3.82–8.521.12–5.534.93–14.06
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.989.6026.58safe13.06–20.916.03–13.1619.09–34.07safer11.97–22.005.07–14.1217.04–36.12
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.836.2017.03safe7.89–13.773.52–8.8811.40–22.65safer7.06–14.602.78–9.619.84–24.22
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.326.95safe2.75–6.510.67–3.983.41–10.49safer2.20–7.050.18–4.472.38–11.52
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.233.589.81safe4.01–8.441.58–5.585.59–14.02safer3.44–9.011.05–6.114.49–15.13
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.0538.49safe55.26–68.8431.70–45.27safer53.59–70.5130.03–46.94
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction543341884safe476–610274–407750–1017safer458–628257–425714–1053
Pass accuracy %
82%
14%
homeawayprediction87.2079.49safe83.17–91.2375.16–83.81safer81.88–92.5273.86–85.12
Fouls
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9011.7626.66safe12.06–17.748.81–14.7020.88–32.44safer11.31–18.508.06–15.4519.37–33.95
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.723.29safe0.41–2.730.63–2.811.03–5.54safer0.11–3.030.34–3.100.45–6.13
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.963.82safe0.81–2.910.83–3.091.64–5.99safer0.54–3.170.54–3.381.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
19%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.946.26safe0.88–3.752.39–5.503.26–9.25safer0.49–4.141.96–5.922.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.98–2.91 0.73–3.16 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.17 4.31–8.03 3.82–8.52 | 3.32 1.58–5.07 1.12–5.53 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.06 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.06–20.91 11.97–22.00 | 9.60 6.03–13.16 5.07–14.12 | 26.58 19.09–34.07 17.04–36.12 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.06–14.60 | 6.20 3.52–8.88 2.78–9.61 | 17.03 11.40–22.65 9.84–24.22 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.51 2.20–7.05 | 2.32 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 6.95 3.41–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.11 | 9.81 5.59–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 62.05 55.26–68.84 53.59–70.51 | 38.49 31.70–45.27 30.03–46.94 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–628 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.20 83.17–91.23 81.88–92.52 | 79.49 75.16–83.81 73.86–85.12 | — | 82% 14% |
| Fouls | 14.90 12.06–17.74 11.31–18.50 | 11.76 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 26.66 20.88–32.44 19.37–33.95 | 70% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.94 2.39–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 19% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.