Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.762.83safe0.11–2.040.90–2.611.01–4.65safer0.00–2.290.67–2.840.53–5.13
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.048.76safe1.86–5.583.30–6.785.15–12.36safer1.37–6.072.83–7.254.20–13.32
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3814.8526.23safe7.45–15.3011.29–18.4218.74–33.72safer6.36–16.3910.33–19.3816.69–35.77
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.669.3916.05safe3.72–9.606.71–12.0710.43–21.68safer2.89–10.435.98–12.818.86–23.24
Blocked shots
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.784.086.86safe0.90–4.662.43–5.743.33–10.40safer0.35–5.201.94–6.232.29–11.43
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.299.77safe2.27–6.703.29–7.295.56–13.99safer1.70–7.272.75–7.824.45–15.09
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.1853.85safe39.39–52.9747.07–60.64safer37.72–54.6445.40–62.31
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction361430792safe294–429364–497658–925safer276–447346–514622–961
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction77.0181.39safe72.98–81.0477.06–85.71safer71.69–82.3375.75–87.02
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.0926.53safe9.60–15.2711.14–17.0320.74–32.31safer8.84–16.0310.39–17.7819.24–33.81
Offsides
37%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.653.25safe0.44–2.760.55–2.740.99–5.50safer0.14–3.060.27–3.030.40–6.09
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.565.15safe1.55–3.641.43–3.692.97–7.33safer1.28–3.911.14–3.982.42–7.89
Red cards
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.130.29safe0.00–0.320.00–0.320.00–0.64safer0.00–0.470.00–0.450.00–0.92
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.536.07safe2.10–4.970.98–4.093.08–9.06safer1.71–5.360.55–4.512.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.76 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.84 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 5.04 3.30–6.78 2.83–7.25 | 8.76 5.15–12.36 4.20–13.32 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.39 | 14.85 11.29–18.42 10.33–19.38 | 26.23 18.74–33.72 16.69–35.77 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.66 3.72–9.60 2.89–10.43 | 9.39 6.71–12.07 5.98–12.81 | 16.05 10.43–21.68 8.86–23.24 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 2.78 0.90–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 4.08 2.43–5.74 1.94–6.23 | 6.86 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.75–7.82 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.18 39.39–52.97 37.72–54.64 | 53.85 47.07–60.64 45.40–62.31 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 792 658–925 622–961 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.01 72.98–81.04 71.69–82.33 | 81.39 77.06–85.71 75.75–87.02 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 14.09 11.14–17.03 10.39–17.78 | 26.53 20.74–32.31 19.24–33.81 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 37% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.60 1.55–3.64 1.28–3.91 | 2.56 1.43–3.69 1.14–3.98 | 5.15 2.97–7.33 2.42–7.89 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 13% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.10–4.97 1.71–5.36 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.