Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.872.81safe0.98–2.920.01–1.720.99–4.64safer0.73–3.170.00–1.950.51–5.12
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.028.99safe4.11–7.831.28–4.775.39–12.60safer3.62–8.320.81–5.234.43–13.56
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.979.3526.32safe13.04–20.895.79–12.9118.83–33.80safer11.95–21.984.83–13.8716.78–35.86
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.555.3116.87safe8.61–14.502.63–7.9911.24–22.49safer7.78–15.331.89–8.739.68–24.06
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.292.376.66safe2.41–6.170.72–4.033.13–10.20safer1.87–6.720.23–4.522.09–11.24
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.639.55safe3.70–8.131.63–5.635.34–13.76safer3.13–8.711.10–6.174.23–14.87
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.8443.18safe50.05–63.6336.39–49.96safer48.38–65.3034.72–51.63
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction473361834safe406–541295–427701–968safer388–559277–445665–1004
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction83.8177.76safe79.78–87.8473.43–82.08safer78.48–89.1372.13–83.39
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.0126.14safe10.30–15.9710.06–15.9520.36–31.92safer9.54–16.739.31–16.7018.85–33.43
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.473.12safe0.49–2.810.37–2.560.87–5.37safer0.19–3.110.08–2.850.28–5.96
Yellow cards
30%
18%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.614.60safe0.94–3.041.48–3.742.43–6.78safer0.68–3.311.19–4.031.87–7.34
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.046.16safe0.68–3.562.48–5.593.16–9.15safer0.30–3.942.05–6.022.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.97 4.11–7.83 3.62–8.32 | 3.02 1.28–4.77 0.81–5.23 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.56 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.97 13.04–20.89 11.95–21.98 | 9.35 5.79–12.91 4.83–13.87 | 26.32 18.83–33.80 16.78–35.86 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.55 8.61–14.50 7.78–15.33 | 5.31 2.63–7.99 1.89–8.73 | 16.87 11.24–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.87–6.72 | 2.37 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.24 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.17 | 9.55 5.34–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.84 50.05–63.63 48.38–65.30 | 43.18 36.39–49.96 34.72–51.63 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 473 406–541 388–559 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 834 701–968 665–1004 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.81 79.78–87.84 78.48–89.13 | 77.76 73.43–82.08 72.13–83.39 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 13.14 10.30–15.97 9.54–16.73 | 13.01 10.06–15.95 9.31–16.70 | 26.14 20.36–31.92 18.85–33.43 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.60 2.43–6.78 1.87–7.34 | 30% 18% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.56 0.30–3.94 | 4.04 2.48–5.59 2.05–6.02 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

