Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.492.85safe0.39–2.320.64–2.351.02–4.67safer0.14–2.580.41–2.570.54–5.15
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.469.01safe2.69–6.422.71–6.205.41–12.62safer2.20–6.912.25–6.664.45–13.57
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3513.0726.42safe9.43–17.289.51–16.6318.94–33.91safer8.33–18.378.55–17.5916.88–35.96
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.308.3316.63safe5.36–11.245.65–11.0111.00–22.25safer4.53–12.074.91–11.759.44–23.82
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.106.45safe1.47–5.241.45–4.752.92–9.99safer0.93–5.780.96–5.251.88–11.02
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.549.27safe2.51–6.942.54–6.545.05–13.48safer1.94–7.512.01–7.083.95–14.59
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction45.7153.89safe38.92–52.5047.11–60.68safer37.25–54.1745.44–62.35
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction390449839safe323–457383–516706–973safer304–475365–533670–1009
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction80.8884.25safe76.85–84.9179.92–88.57safer75.56–86.2078.62–89.88
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3911.4923.88safe9.56–15.238.54–14.4318.10–29.66safer8.80–15.997.79–15.1816.59–31.17
Offsides
61%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.544.15safe1.45–3.770.44–2.631.89–6.40safer1.15–4.070.15–2.921.30–6.99
Yellow cards
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.334.60safe1.22–3.321.20–3.462.42–6.78safer0.95–3.590.91–3.751.87–7.34
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.26safe0.00–0.310.00–0.300.00–0.61safer0.00–0.460.00–0.430.00–0.89
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.106.14safe1.60–4.471.55–4.663.15–9.13safer1.21–4.861.12–5.082.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.57 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.91 | 4.46 2.71–6.20 2.25–6.66 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.43–17.28 8.33–18.37 | 13.07 9.51–16.63 8.55–17.59 | 26.42 18.94–33.91 16.88–35.96 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.30 5.36–11.24 4.53–12.07 | 8.33 5.65–11.01 4.91–11.75 | 16.63 11.00–22.25 9.44–23.82 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.24 0.93–5.78 | 3.10 1.45–4.75 0.96–5.25 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.08 | 9.27 5.05–13.48 3.95–14.59 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 45.71 38.92–52.50 37.25–54.17 | 53.89 47.11–60.68 45.44–62.35 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 304–475 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.88 76.85–84.91 75.56–86.20 | 84.25 79.92–88.57 78.62–89.88 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 11.49 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 23.88 18.10–29.66 16.59–31.17 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 4.15 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.59 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.87–7.34 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.