Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.072.83safe0.79–2.720.22–1.931.00–4.65safer0.54–2.970.00–2.150.52–5.13
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.588.85safe3.40–7.131.84–5.325.24–12.45safer2.91–7.621.37–5.794.29–13.41
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9711.1426.10safe11.04–18.897.57–14.7018.61–33.59safer9.95–19.986.61–15.6616.56–35.64
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.027.1417.16safe7.08–12.964.45–9.8211.53–22.78safer6.25–13.793.72–10.559.97–24.35
Blocked shots
63%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.696.74safe2.16–5.921.04–4.353.20–10.27safer1.62–6.470.55–4.842.17–11.31
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.689.04safe3.15–7.571.68–5.684.83–13.25safer2.57–8.151.15–6.213.72–14.36
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.9744.26safe49.18–62.7637.47–51.04safer47.51–64.4335.80–52.71
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction486383869safe419–553317–449735–1003safer401–571299–467700–1038
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction85.5181.33safe81.48–89.5477.00–85.65safer80.18–90.8375.69–86.96
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5813.4925.08safe8.75–14.4210.55–16.4419.29–30.86safer7.99–15.189.80–17.1917.79–32.36
Offsides
22%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.473.94safe0.31–2.631.38–3.561.68–6.19safer0.01–2.931.09–3.851.09–6.78
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.504.60safe1.05–3.141.37–3.632.42–6.78safer0.78–3.411.08–3.921.86–7.33
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.415.98safe1.13–4.001.85–4.972.98–8.97safer0.74–4.391.43–5.392.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.97 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 2.83 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 8.85 5.24–12.45 4.29–13.41 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.97 11.04–18.89 9.95–19.98 | 11.14 7.57–14.70 6.61–15.66 | 26.10 18.61–33.59 16.56–35.64 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.08–12.96 6.25–13.79 | 7.14 4.45–9.82 3.72–10.55 | 17.16 11.53–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.62–6.47 | 2.69 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.17–11.31 | 63% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.57 2.57–8.15 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.21 | 9.04 4.83–13.25 3.72–14.36 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 55.97 49.18–62.76 47.51–64.43 | 44.26 37.47–51.04 35.80–52.71 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 383 317–449 299–467 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.51 81.48–89.54 80.18–90.83 | 81.33 77.00–85.65 75.69–86.96 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.75–14.42 7.99–15.18 | 13.49 10.55–16.44 9.80–17.19 | 25.08 19.29–30.86 17.79–32.36 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 2.47 1.38–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 22% 19% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.05–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.86–7.33 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.41 1.85–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.98 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.